CONTEST: The 'Top 5' Thread -- Trifecta Box

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

I would hope he would be able to run quick late after running so slow early.

He just screams out underlay and with the whispers of his issues, I just don't see how he's a good choice to play in the race.

Are you going to actually bet him?

He ran quick all right. Real quick. Real easy. He looked like the same horse to me, just with different race circumstances.

I think I'd play him at 9/2. Exotics look totally random to me.

[somerfrost]

Right now, I'm leaning towards using just three horses: Pants on Fire, Master of Hounds, and Shackleford...based largely on odds vs post draws, but I have yet to really study past performances.

[alysheba4]

somer, if you get a chance post the dosage numbers.....thanks

[somerfrost]

Originally Posted by alysheba4

somer, if you get a chance post the dosage numbers.....thanks

Of all or specific horses?

[alysheba4]

all would be great.....thanks again.

[somerfrost]

OK, here we go:
Dialed In...9-8-13-0-0 3.62/0.87
Uncle Mo...1-2-5-0-0 2.20/0.50
Mucho Macho Man...5-1-5-1-0 2.43/0.83
Soldat...7-6-11-2-0 2.47/0.69
Nehro...12-8-12-0-0 4.33/1.00
Archarcharch...6-3-20-1-0 1.73/0.47
Midnight Interlude...6-5-15-0-0 2.47/0.65
Santiva...4-3-21-0-0 1.67/0.39
Shackleford...6-13-9-0-2 3.62/0.70
Stay Thirsty...4-6-16-0-0 2.25/0.84
Pants on Fire...6-6-12-0-0 3.00/0.75
Brilliant Speed...7-3-23-0-1 1.72/0.44
Master of Hounds...12-2-30-12-0 1.07/0.25
Decisive Moment...3-2-9-0-0 2.11/0.57
Animal Kingdom...2-0-6-0-0 1.67/0.50
Comma to the top...3-0-5-0-0 2.20/0.75
Twice the Appeal...6-1-7-0-1 2.11/0.64
Watch Me Go...8-1-5-1-1 2.58/0.88
Twinspired...2-1-9-2-0 1.15/0.21
Derby Kitten...3-2-7-2-0 1.55/0.43

[fpsoxfan]

If anyone is willing to excuse the Wood performance than it's safe to say that on paper Uncle Mo is the best in this field. I've looked this over several times and I can't find much beyond the other obvious favorites. For a price, I do like Santiva. Not impressed by his race times, but like this ones style and the fact he ran wide around the track in the Risen Star and finished second to Mucho Macho Man who I like as well. Animal Kingdom hasn't seen real dirt, but Motion should have this one ready. Dialed in obviously needs the trip, but could blow these away in deep stretch. So, for what it's worth, this is who I like 72 hours out.

1. 18 - Uncle Mo
2. 12 - Santiva
3. 8 - Dialed In
4. 13 - MMM
5. 16 - Animal Kingdom