Commentators Work

[kentuckyrosesinmay]

Originally Posted by Revolution

Henny Hughes just beat the best sprinter Belmont has ever seen over the Belmont strip. Commentator is no Silver Train at Belmont.

The BC is at Churchill Downs. Silver Train ran fourth in the Vosburgh. I don't even see how you can make that comparison because Silver Train was definitely not himself that day at all. He is a much, much better horse than what he showed against Henny Hughes. He didn't run any in that race.

[SniperSB23]

If both Commentator and Attila's Storm break well then I don't see either of them winning. Both of them need the lead and if they are both battling for it then it will leave both of them crawling home. If one of them has a poor break, however, then the other has a good shot. Tough to win the BC Sprint on the front end though. I'll probably play against Commentator in this one (like I stupidly didn't in the Forego).

[kentuckyrosesinmay]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

If both Commentator and Attila's Storm break well then I don't see either of them winning. Both of them need the lead and if they are both battling for it then it will leave both of them crawling home. If one of them has a poor break, however, then the other has a good shot. Tough to win the BC Sprint on the front end though. I'll probably play against Commentator in this one (like I stupidly didn't in the Forego).

Don't blame yourself for the Forego. Commentator completely missed the break. You couldn't have seen that one coming...

Good point about Attila's Storm vs. Commentator. I didn't think about that because I don't know who is exactly going to be in the race yet. The sprint is always a great race to handicap.

[blackthroatedwind]

He didn't " miss the break " at all. He stumbled. There is a significant difference as a stumble can, and often does, jar a horse while missing the break is positional.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay

Don't blame yourself for the Forego. Commentator completely missed the break. You couldn't have seen that one coming...

Good point about Attila's Storm vs. Commentator. I didn't think about that because I don't know who is exactly going to be in the race yet. The sprint is always a great race to handicap.

No, it was plain poor betting. I played him with Pomeroy, War Front, Friendly Island, and Nightmare Affair with Commentator in the top two spots in every combination. If he runs well and wins I hit a whopping $50 trifecta (maybe less). If I play against him at 9/10 in a race with Spanish Chestnut to burn on the front end I hit the $900 trifecta. It was poor betting whether or not he stumbles at the start.

[Slewbopper]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

No, it was plain poor betting. I played him with Pomeroy, War Front, Friendly Island, and Nightmare Affair with Commentator in the top two spots in every combination. If he runs well and wins I hit a whopping $50 trifecta (maybe less). If I play against him at 9/10 in a race with Spanish Chestnut to burn on the front end I hit the $900 trifecta. It was poor betting whether or not he stumbles at the start.

Sounds exactly like what I did in the Forego. It was not bad gambling, Sniper. It was bad luck. One thing we cannot foresee in horse racing is when the gate opens that you know you have already lost because of a bad break...especially in sprints. It is just bad luck, not bad handicapping much of the time. Betting on Arazi in the Derby was bad handicapping....Guilty as charged.

[The Bid]

Please dont talk yourself into thinking a 46 gate work is planned, or doesnt matter a "few weeks" down the line. It matters, thats called running off, not a good thing.

[Slewbopper]

Originally Posted by The Bid

Please dont talk yourself into thinking a 46 gate work is planned, or doesnt matter a "few weeks" down the line. It matters, thats called running off, not a good thing.

Give me 5/1 right now on Commentator. You can have the rest of the field if you like.