Offshore Derby odds

[-BT-]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Here are TheGreek's odds as of 4/12: ("+685" means 6.85 to 1)

5701 Uncle Mo +685 * not even a big fan and think this is an overlay, even after this weekend
5702 Dialed In +425
5703 The Factor +815
5704 Much Macho Man +1215 *UNDERLAY
5705 Soldat +2050
5706 Stay Thirsty +2050 *Underlay
5707 Jaycito +2550 * Overlay
5708 Santiva +2550
5709 Tobys Corner +2050 *OVERLAY, might end up being the wiseguy horse this year
5710 Astrology +4050
5711 Sway Away +3250
5712 Elite Alex +2550 *UNDERLAY
** just noticed he's 43 on the graded earnings @ only +2550, head scratcher
5713 JPs Gusto +4550
5714 Brethren +3050
5715 Decisive Moment +6050
5716 Pants on fire +4550
5717 Animal Kingdom +4550
5718 Archarcharch +5250
5719 Twice the appeal +5250
5720 Midnight Interlude +2050
5721 Comma to the top +6550
5722 Watch me go +6550
5723 Nehro +3550
5724 Caleb's posse +6550
5725 Alternation +6550
5726 Shackleford +6550

That's a relatively low-vig line. The odds if converted to probabilities add up to 111%. (but there are possible entries that are not on the list, too)


--Dunbar

Mr. GAAAAAAAAAAAAIIIIIIIIIIINNNNNNNNIIIIIIIIIIIING Ground see's it a different way

http://www.drf.com/news/churchill-do...derby-favorite

Mike Battaglia, the morning-line maker for Churchill Downs, would make The Factor the 7-2 favorite for the Kentucky Derby if the May 7 race were run today, according to a release from Churchill. Dialed In and Uncle Mo are co-second choices on Battaglia's early line at 4-1.

-bt-