Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Stakes Archive
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-20-2011, 07:41 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
The Factor could contend in the King's Bishop if they don't cook him before then. . . The second-place finisher is a very intriguing derby prospect.
Sway Away is only going to gain from that start and I agree, he's interesting. The Factor should not be sent two turns, but I'm sure he will.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-20-2011, 07:52 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

I know it was his first start back and all but I'm not really that impressed with Sway Away. The Factor is getting attacked early on both sides and still has enough to win. Sway Away is dead last and saving ground and just at the very end starts making up ground on The Factor. The Factor clearly has foot problems and was not a definite for this race until Monday, less then a week ago. IMO he is out rolling because he is that naturally gifted. He does not break right on top and never seems headstrong. In other words I think he will rate. I'm not convinced he cant win the Santa Anita Derby and I'm not convinced that Sway Away is really that good. 9f and 10f are totally different animals. If this guy is healthy, and Baffert AKA the GOAT, AKA my HERO can work him I'm confident he can win a major Derby prep at 9f. Im just not sure about the big one going 10f. With all that being said I also feel he is the most likely Derby contender to be done for an extend period of time or retired due to injury.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-20-2011, 07:53 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
Sway Away is only going to gain from that start and I agree, he's interesting. The Factor should not be sent two turns, but I'm sure he will.
Don't you have to try? Even if ypu think the possiblity is remote that he would be successful doesnt he deserve a shot? What do you think they should do just go to the Met Mile? He might not win such a race against older?
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 02-20-2011, 07:54 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Don't you have to try? Even if ypu think the possiblity is remote that he would be successful doesnt he deserve a shot? What do you think they should do just go to the Met Mile? He might not win such a race against older?
The way they are talking I doubt they think he can even get a mile.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 02-20-2011, 07:54 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Don't you have to try? Even if ypu think the possiblity is remote that he would be successful doesnt he deserve a shot? What do you think they should do just go to the Met Mile? He might not win such a race against older?
They said the same thing about 85ina50
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 02-20-2011, 07:55 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
They said the same thing about 85ina50
That was different, a lot different.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 02-20-2011, 07:56 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Hard not to like The Factor's race - he missed some training coming in and glorified sack of oats Garcia didn't need to have him so forward early on.

Horses like him often dominate the route preps and help collapse the pace at a realtive short price in the KY Derby. If he stays healthy - it's going to be a bitch to beat him at 8.5f or 9f
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 02-20-2011, 08:41 PM
pucknut pucknut is offline
Hawthorne
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 522
Default

4/5 with indian sway sratching was a belated valentine
this horse gets a mile all day long and i dont believe 1 1/4 is beyond reach with bafferts skill it may be a stretch but not compltely beyond his breeding the california best of the west rep for the derby
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:21 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.