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Old 01-31-2011, 08:54 PM
richard burch's Avatar
richard burch richard burch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: new jersey
Posts: 1,752
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i figure that the popular guys like gomez, dominguez, leparoux etc,,, have a certain lifestyle. they need to win a certain number of races to maintain that lifestyle.

lets pick any thursday afternoon at aqueduct:

so lets say ramon is in race 6 at the big A and he has not come in the money in the first 5 races. he has been the favorite in at least 3 of them but for some reason his mounts dont finish on the board.

now in race 6 he is on a 5-1 morning line horse and is the third choice. at post time he goes down to 4-1. the bettors are leary now of betting him knowing that he has burned a lot of money, but ramon wants to make it home in one piece.

so i would put more interest in the jockey and not the horse and wager to w/p/s.

there are reasons why guys like him are 60% in the money.


PS: i really miss listening to steves radio show at 4 pm est. never get a chance to listen now. sucks.
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Last edited by richard burch : 02-02-2011 at 08:39 PM.
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