12/26 (SA): Malibu, La Brea (G1's); Beaufort (G2); CA Champion (R)

Horizontally I would add Bogie and Indian Firewater.

It will help if Race 3 stays on the turf to get some grasp of how it is playing...plus someone sending with the fave, who has the speed?

[JerseyJ]

I think Sidney's Candy gets some serious pressure in the Sir Beaufort, and I see the race melting down a bit late. Bogie looks like the best closer, and looks like the horse to key in there as I don't really see all the hype in Sidney's Candy off of 1 good turf race where he set a reasonable pace on that quirky Del Mar turf course against a bunch of tomato cans.

I think in the Malibu it's strictly between Caracortado, Noble's Promise, and Smiling Tiger, the three big time proven dirt horses in the race. I'll let the others beat me, especially if they are short prices.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by JerseyJ

I think Sidney's Candy gets some serious pressure in the Sir Beaufort, and I see the race melting down a bit late. Bogie looks like the best closer, and looks like the horse to key in there as I don't really see all the hype in Sidney's Candy off of 1 good turf race where he set a reasonable pace on that quirky Del Mar turf course against a bunch of tomato cans.

I think in the Malibu it's strictly between Caracortado, Noble's Promise, and Smiling Tiger, the three big time proven dirt horses in the race. I'll let the others beat me, especially if they are short prices.

You have to believe that Talamo is gonna have Blue Panis right up on the front end with Sidneys Candy. I think Gomez and Lep will have their mounts towards the rear. This may be a bit of a stretch in my thinking, but I think if Espinoza can have Nextdoorneighbor sitting just a couple lengths behind the dueling frontrunners, he can get first jump and may still have enough to hold off the late closers. Of course, Bejerano will most likely be in the same position with Indian Firewater. They are both making their first turf starts and should be pretty decent prices.

Nextdoorneighbor, Indian Firewater and Bogie (huge jock switch) would be the 3 I use.

[JerseyJ]

Originally Posted by GPK

You have to believe that Talamo is gonna have Blue Panis right up on the front end with Sidneys Candy. I think Gomez and Lep will have their mounts towards the rear. This may be a bit of a stretch in my thinking, but I think if Espinoza can have Nextdoorneighbor sitting just a couple lengths behind the dueling frontrunners, he can get first jump and may still have enough to hold off the late closers. Of course, Bejerano will most likely be in the same position with Indian Firewater. They are both making their first turf starts and should be pretty decent prices.

Nextdoorneighbor, Indian Firewater and Bogie (huge jock switch) would be the 3 I use.

I don't think Indian Firewater is going to be lagging far behind at all. I see Blue Panis on or pressuring the pace like you said, Nextdoorneighbor I expect to be forwardly placed on the stretchout, Sidney's Candy obviously, and the La Jolla was a fluky race because of Del Mar's turf course where fractions are often wacky, as well as Indian Firewater on the stretchout, and I bet Quinonez uses Accelerant early and puts him into the race because he won't want to be too far behind in the early going while losing ground from the 9 hole. I think Bogie is going to get a perfect setup.

[RolloTomasi]

The DRF quoted Mike Machowsky saying that Nextdoorneighbor was "main track only".

[my miss storm cat]

FYI it's raining again here.

[my miss storm cat]

Probably not but not sure...

I think it's supposed to stop by early morning.

It's not heavy but thought I should mention it here...