Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-09-2010, 08:54 AM
Thunder Gulch's Avatar
Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Southland Greyhound Park
Posts: 1,846
Default

As much as I'd like to see her back for another year- why leave when you just ran your best- i honestly could do without another year of soft 5 filly fields in California and all of the endless debate regarding her place in history.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-09-2010, 09:00 AM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

Yeah, the only reason to really bring her back is to mop up on the handicap division. Short of that, what is the point?
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-09-2010, 06:18 PM
alysheba4 alysheba4 is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 1,424
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch View Post
As much as I'd like to see her back for another year- why leave when you just ran your best- i honestly could do without another year of soft 5 filly fields in California and all of the endless debate regarding her place in history.
.....she isnt as good as last year and will only be worse as a 7 year old.....time to end it.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-10-2010, 01:55 AM
letswastemoney's Avatar
letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Turlock, CA
Posts: 2,561
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alysheba4 View Post
.....she isnt as good as last year and will only be worse as a 7 year old.....time to end it.
I would love to bet against her in the right spot. I hope they take the ambitious path and go east and against males in races like the Met Mile, Stephen Foster, Whitney, Woodward etc. If she raced in just one of those, I'd be very interested.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-10-2010, 07:52 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Considering the way the race track played during the Breeders Cup - the sheet numbers are going to come back out of whack.

Horses are going to be rewarded for racing wide - and they were better off being in the four path than on the rail.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-10-2010, 11:49 AM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: MIAMI
Posts: 1,978
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
Considering the way the race track played during the Breeders Cup - the sheet numbers are going to come back out of whack.

Horses are going to be rewarded for racing wide - and they were better off being in the four path than on the rail.
I think in almost every situation I would rather have my horse in the 4 path with no horse to my outside than on the rail possibly or probably pinned down, or in the 2 path even between horses. Guessing here but 9 times out of 10 I would rather have my horse swinging a bit wide out of trouble than saving ground and in tight quarters. I think the "figs" would be better without the ground lost enhancements? If you are already on the lead, fine, but coming out of the turn and into the stretch give me the horse on the outside. Unless of course you are in the midst of a tremendous bias like your 1 horse at PID
__________________
" I may leave here empty handed, but you aren't going anywhere "
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-10-2010, 05:00 PM
golfer's Avatar
golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,608
Default

TG figs are up for both days:



http://www.thorograph.com/ROTW/20101...010bcf_10s.pdf
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-10-2010, 05:01 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Blame -2.25
Zenyatta -1.75
Goldikova -2
Uncle Mo 0
Big Drama -1.5
Hamazing Destiny -2.5 (!)
Unrivaled Belle -1.75
Awesome Feather 4
Dubai Majesty -2.5
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-10-2010, 11:26 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quality Road's 2010 campaign on their numbers:

Negative 7.5

(almost 4 month layoff)

Negative 5.75

(10 week layoff)

Negative 3.25

(Month layoff)

Negative 2

(Month layoff)

12.5 X (an X on sheets stands for racing on a dead rail)


I assume this is called the "Titanic pattern" - and Quality Road would run a 25 next time out. A number which gets you beat at Portland Meadows.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-11-2010, 05:35 AM
Round Pen's Avatar
Round Pen Round Pen is offline
Aqueduct
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Ocala Fl
Posts: 604
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post
Blame -2.25
Zenyatta -1.75
Goldikova -2Uncle Mo 0
Big Drama -1.5
Hamazing Destiny -2.5 (!)
Unrivaled Belle -1.75
Awesome Feather 4
Dubai Majesty -2.5
Maybe I am wrong here but that -2 seems a little fast considering its a new top for her by 3 points. But what the heck shes a great mare.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 11-11-2010, 02:35 PM
Thunder Gulch's Avatar
Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Southland Greyhound Park
Posts: 1,846
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MISTERGEE View Post
I think in almost every situation I would rather have my horse in the 4 path with no horse to my outside than on the rail possibly or probably pinned down, or in the 2 path even between horses. Guessing here but 9 times out of 10 I would rather have my horse swinging a bit wide out of trouble than saving ground and in tight quarters. I think the "figs" would be better without the ground lost enhancements? If you are already on the lead, fine, but coming out of the turn and into the stretch give me the horse on the outside. Unless of course you are in the midst of a tremendous bias like your 1 horse at PID
I think most would agree, but the intent of Thorograph numbers is to measure the performance, so horses that ran more ground in the same time arguably performed better. That doesn't mean they'll get a better trip next time, which has to be factored when considering late runners and outside draws for future events.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 11-10-2010, 07:57 AM
Slewbopper Slewbopper is offline
Narragansett Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 568
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney View Post
I would love to bet against her in the right spot. I hope they take the ambitious path and go east and against males in races like the Met Mile, Stephen Foster, Whitney, Woodward etc. If she raced in just one of those, I'd be very interested.
Three 9 fur races and one at a mile. From her speed figs, 1 1/4 seems to be her best distance. The only races at that distance before the JCGC in the east are the Del Cap and the PE, both for F & Ms. The 1 3/16 Pim Special would have been a nice eastern race for her in the spring, but that is a moot point.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:25 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.