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  #1  
Old 11-01-2010, 12:44 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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FRIDAY

MOST: While I respect her immensely, how can Rightly So not be a vulnerable fave in the F&M Sprint? I suppose there is a distinct chance she gets edged in the wagering ultimately by Informed Decision, who has been making an increased case for herself daily, but the point is that this 7f dash looks like a spot ripe for something off the pace and at at least a square price.. (On that front, Champagne d'Oro & Evening Jewel are certainly in my grid.)

LEAST: Nick Luck from Racing UK, whom you can hear on today's ATR during all of Hour 3, feels Midday won't lose, and says that Europe collectively backs that thought. But I'm inclined to think Blind Luck has a lot going for her in a spot where she gets a pace to chase on a track she relished during the spring.


SATURDAY

MOST: With the arrival of the Euros (equine and human) and under increased scrutiny, Workforce appears a very vulnerable fave. For openers, those close to the scene say he's not going to like the hard surface. Second, and probably more importantly, he is built more for gracious Woodbine/Arlington/Belmont style grass courses, as opposed to Churchill's more narrow and rather hairpin oval.

LEAST: Goldikova. As I wrote in the Xpressbet Guide, if her story continues with a 3rd Mile victory, there won't be an accomplishment in Cup history more monumental. And as a coda, Luck said on air today that Wertheimer & Frere have hinted that they may bring the mare back in '11..
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  #2  
Old 11-01-2010, 12:49 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
FRIDAY
LEAST: Nick Luck from Racing UK, whom you can hear on today's ATR during all of Hour 3, feels Midday won't lose, and says that Europe collectively backs that thought. But I'm inclined to think Blind Luck has a lot going for her in a spot where she gets a pace to chase on a track she relished during the spring.
Didn't it seem like a lot of the Europeans last year were disparaging Midday? I think they have a tough time objectively evaluating their own horses when coming over here. Red Desire and Plumania should be stubborn foes for her.

I'm with you on Blind Luck. Earlier this year I was very much against her, but she has proven to be an excellent horse who always fires.
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Old 11-01-2010, 01:00 PM
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Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
Didn't it seem like a lot of the Europeans last year were disparaging Midday? I think they have a tough time objectively evaluating their own horses when coming over here. Red Desire and Plumania should be stubborn foes for her.

I'm with you on Blind Luck. Earlier this year I was very much against her, but she has proven to be an excellent horse who always fires.
I was surprised Nick was so adamant about Midday. I like Red Desire myself as well off her scary looking presence on the track here and having discovered through Haskin's conversation with the Japanese that she went virtually untrained into the Flower Bowl.
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The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 11-01-2010, 01:20 PM
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letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
I was surprised Nick was so adamant about Midday. I like Red Desire myself as well off her scary looking presence on the track here and having discovered through Haskin's conversation with the Japanese that she went virtually untrained into the Flower Bowl.
I wish I factored that in before I singled her in all my tickets for the Flower Bowl
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Old 11-01-2010, 01:25 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
Didn't it seem like a lot of the Europeans last year were disparaging Midday? I think they have a tough time objectively evaluating their own horses when coming over here. Red Desire and Plumania should be stubborn foes for her.

I'm with you on Blind Luck. Earlier this year I was very much against her, but she has proven to be an excellent horse who always fires.
I think Midday is a very solid favourite.. I can't see Plumania beating her. In the Vermeille, I thought she got the run of the race and couldn't beat Midday. Also stepping down in trip from 12f to 11f wont help her bridge that gap imo.

I do agree that Red Desire will be difficult to beat and in my view, the only legit threat to Midday. I'd be willing to bet that she comes on leaps and bounds from her US debut.
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  #6  
Old 11-01-2010, 01:26 PM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
FRIDAY

MOST: While I respect her immensely, how can Rightly So not be a vulnerable fave in the F&M Sprint? I suppose there is a distinct chance she gets edged in the wagering ultimately by Informed Decision, who has been making an increased case for herself daily, but the point is that this 7f dash looks like a spot ripe for something off the pace and at at least a square price.. (On that front, Champagne d'Oro & Evening Jewel are certainly in my grid.)
Sorry about your luck as I love Evening Jewel. Victor Espinoza and one of his patented early moves scares me though.
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  #7  
Old 11-01-2010, 01:29 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Jessica Is Back.
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  #8  
Old 11-01-2010, 02:23 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
FRIDAY

MOST: While I respect her immensely, how can Rightly So not be a vulnerable fave in the F&M Sprint? I suppose there is a distinct chance she gets edged in the wagering ultimately by Informed Decision, who has been making an increased case for herself daily, but the point is that this 7f dash looks like a spot ripe for something off the pace and at at least a square price.. (On that front, Champagne d'Oro & Evening Jewel are certainly in my grid.)

LEAST: Nick Luck from Racing UK, whom you can hear on today's ATR during all of Hour 3, feels Midday won't lose, and says that Europe collectively backs that thought. But I'm inclined to think Blind Luck has a lot going for her in a spot where she gets a pace to chase on a track she relished during the spring.


SATURDAY

MOST: With the arrival of the Euros (equine and human) and under increased scrutiny, Workforce appears a very vulnerable fave. For openers, those close to the scene say he's not going to like the hard surface. Second, and probably more importantly, he is built more for gracious Woodbine/Arlington/Belmont style grass courses, as opposed to Churchill's more narrow and rather hairpin oval.

LEAST: Goldikova. As I wrote in the Xpressbet Guide, if her story continues with a 3rd Mile victory, there won't be an accomplishment in Cup history more monumental. And as a coda, Luck said on air today that Wertheimer & Frere have hinted that they may bring the mare back in '11..
I agree with all of this except the part about Champagne D'Oro coming from off the pace....
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  #9  
Old 11-01-2010, 03:19 PM
Clip-Clop Clip-Clop is offline
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Originally Posted by VOL JACK View Post
I agree with all of this except the part about Champagne D'Oro coming from off the pace....
Off the pace that gets set, maybe. Square price? I hope so, I think they just gave her a nice work in her last to set this up. Never expected to win that one.
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  #10  
Old 11-01-2010, 03:20 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Im giving Harmonious a long look if she goes in the Filly N Mare Turf. Midday is a stone cold A, but Im not in love with anyone else....
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  #11  
Old 11-01-2010, 04:51 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK View Post
I agree with all of this except the part about Champagne D'Oro coming from off the pace....
True. Relatively "off the pace" for Champagne... Stalking the first flight.
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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