10/2 (OTH): Goodwood, Yellow Ribbon, Lady's Secret, Norfolk S. (G1's)

[chucklestheclown]

A double-digit P4 payout. Yawn.

[letswastemoney]

You know if you take away Switch's dirt and turf efforts, she has never finished off the board on synthetics. And at Hollywood she is 3-2-1-0 including a win over champion Blind Luck.

Maybe it's just wishful thinking, but if she's good enough to beat Blind Luck with the right pace setup, maybe things can set up for her here.

[chucklestheclown]

Switch just just barely beat Emmafitz...I hope for Zenyatta's sake she is not embarrassed by her.

[Travis Stone]

She'll probably win by a neck, but you can think outside the box a bit and find reasons for a few of these to upset the big mare. We'll see.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

but you can think outside the box a bit and find reasons for a few of these to upset the big mare.

You can?

And a few of them?

Pass me the blunt, Travis.


Barring injury, DQ, or Smith falling off - she'll win. There's a decent amount of pace in there.

[Travis Stone]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Pass me the blunt, Travis.

I think you can legitimately make a case for an upset by combining the following thoughts.

- The jocks won't gun-it just for the sake of gunning-it on horses like Moon or Emmy.

- In my opinion, Zenyatta is not quite as sharp as last year. Her kick doesn't seem quite as "deadly."

- Switch's best races have come at Hollywood Park. She's not one-way speed, so she can rate. She beat Blind Luck (who in this race would be a legit second choice).

- Rinterval doesn't have to be on the lead either, I think she was there recently by default. She only lost to Z by a neck. Perhaps she's on a more equal level closing versus holding on? Either that, or she sets it up for..

- Satan's Quick Chick, who has been fast enough to win here in the past, at least on pure figures, and is a grade two winner at Kee against 13 others.

Toss a tricky trip in there, or other randomness, and I think it could happen. Is it likely? No... but not impossible.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Switch got 10lbs from Blind Luck - and had big early separation - in a race where they went 25, 50, 1:14.40

With Switch, you're talking about a 3yo who's only giving 3lbs to Zenyatta at Z's home track.

This isn't Del Mar... these races there are simply all about finishing and that filly simply can't finish with her.