9/11: Belmont (Fall Meet Opener)

Originally Posted by Kasept

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Interesting group with KMc's #4 Shaarat having advantage of start where she showed speed before being overhauled by runaway Nicks' miss that was subsquently sold and sent in Spinaway. Note sib power from #1 Atantic Voyage (full to the nice and very game Stormello) and #5 Mackeral Snapper (full to the fast and brittle Charitable Man). Via Thoro-Graph trainer stats, note that Mark Hennig (#6 Truffles, 10-1 ML) has has hit the board a remarkable 71% of the time with 2nd timers (58 starts) going off at 4-1 or less. Forestry filly won't be 4-1 or less here, but that stat represents 41 ITM finishes out of 58 starters... a stunning number to keep in the back of your mind when Hennig runners take money in their second outing..

Most Likely: #4 Shaarat 5-2
Best Value: #3 Elegant Finish 5-1
Next Best: #1 Atlantic Voyage 4-1
Super Add: #6 Truffles 10-1



Steve

Nicks and company made out like bandits.