9/3 (SAR): With Anticipation S. (G3), Saratoga Dew S.

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

This is barely more than a glorified maiden race. I know you're uninterested in considering anything other than trips, but that limits the number of horses you can look at. This horse is a very strong play based on pedigree and trainer.

I'm not adverse to playing pedigree or trainer angles. The point here is the courses. They're playing to speed and the jocks are not riding them that way. It's getting tiring watching horses setting slow fractions. It's getting more tiring watching horses that can't get a distance (because they're sprinters or just not good enough) do so with this bias. And even more tiring, still, is watching jocks let slow pace setters have their way early.

If you think this horse will go to the lead and not get pressed (notice, the former goes not imply the latter during this meet) then play him. But the bias adds to your assumptions.