Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-30-2010, 07:29 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
For a 3rd beaten 11.25 lengths with a Beyer in the 70's - it was a great performance. Great in relation to the running line it yields obviously.

I even liked Miss Singhsix's race - even though she was a mile off of the pace early - and ended up finishing 4th by 16.5 lengths.

Persistantly is a grinder and has been successful as a closing sprinter - Miss Singhsix is a slowpoke who's never even attempted a sprint race in her career - she moved WAY too soon imo. Valdivia should have had her 20+ lengths behind that pace instead of just 15.

Miss Singhsix ended up running her final half mile in 53.83 seconds - after making a huge middle move in tandem with Persist.
Doug Im saying this with 100% sincerity, no messing around It is meant to be a serious question. Is this thread you showing your genius, your ability to mess with all of us or are you actually being serious about a 70 something beyer and a double digit length loss?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-30-2010, 07:33 PM
prudery's Avatar
prudery prudery is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 495
Default

Dementia praecox ...
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-30-2010, 07:42 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by prudery View Post
Dementia praecox ...
I worked in a Dementia facility for a while.... Tough work.

Dementia praecox ("premature dementia") refers to a chronic, deteriorating psychotic disorder characterized by rapid cognitive disintegration, usually beginning in the late teens or early adulthood. It is a term first used in 1891 in this Latin form by Arnold Pick (1851-1924), a professor of psychiatry at the German branch of Charles University in Prague. His brief clinical report described the case of a person with a psychotic disorder resembling hebephrenia (see below). It was popularized by German psychiatrist Emil Kraepelin (1856-1926) in 1893 and 1896 in his first detailed descriptions of a condition that would eventually be reframed and relabeled as schizophrenia.

The primary disturbance in dementia praecox is not one of mood (as is the case in manic-depressive illness), but of thinking or cognition. Cognitive disintegration refers to a disruption in cognitive or mental functioning such as in attention, memory, and goal-directed behavior.

From the outset, dementia praecox was viewed by Kraepelin as a progressively deteriorating disease from which no one recovered. The three terms that Kraepelin used to refer to the end state of the disease were "Verblödung" (deterioration), Schwachsinn (mental weakness) or Defekt (defect). However, by 1913, and more explicitly by 1920, Kraepelin admitted that although there seemed to be a residual cognitive defect in most cases, the prognosis was not as uniformly dire as he had stated in the 1890s.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-30-2010, 07:44 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
I worked in a Dementia facility for a while.... Tough work.

Dementia praecox ("premature dementia") refers to a chronic, deteriorating psychotic disorder characterized by rapid cognitive disintegration, usually beginning in the late teens or early adulthood. It is a term first used in 1891 in this Latin form by Arnold Pick (1851-1924), a professor of psychiatry at the German branch of Charles University in Prague. His brief clinical report described the case of a person with a psychotic disorder resembling hebephrenia (see below). It was popularized by German psychiatrist Emil Kraepelin (1856-1926) in 1893 and 1896 in his first detailed descriptions of a condition that would eventually be reframed and relabeled as schizophrenia.

The primary disturbance in dementia praecox is not one of mood (as is the case in manic-depressive illness), but of thinking or cognition. Cognitive disintegration refers to a disruption in cognitive or mental functioning such as in attention, memory, and goal-directed behavior.

From the outset, dementia praecox was viewed by Kraepelin as a progressively deteriorating disease from which no one recovered. The three terms that Kraepelin used to refer to the end state of the disease were "Verblödung" (deterioration), Schwachsinn (mental weakness) or Defekt (defect). However, by 1913, and more explicitly by 1920, Kraepelin admitted that although there seemed to be a residual cognitive defect in most cases, the prognosis was not as uniformly dire as he had stated in the 1890s.
God Bless wikipedia for the feeble minded like yourself.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 08-30-2010, 07:57 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Doug Im saying this with 100% sincerity, no messing around It is meant to be a serious question. Is this thread you showing your genius, your ability to mess with all of us or are you actually being serious about a 70 something beyer and a double digit length loss?
It's common sense is all it is.

You beat this game by finding horses who run sneaky good races like Life At Ten ran... but don't quite have the good back form she has - and come back in the right kind of spots.

In terms of my public handicapping, I've had seven winners picked on top in the paper that have paid $40+ to win this meet alone - and I very rarely pick longshots on top.

In Friday's 8th - my best bet of the day paid $63.60 to win - the daily double into him only paid $52. My top pick is profitable for the meet - in print - for the 3rd year in a row. The only year which I didn't show a flat bet profit was the 1st year - only a 25 day meet.

In terms of my betting - if you don't find enough horses who run races like that and come back in the right spots - you'll be needing to find a job.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:02 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Wherever Life At Ten runs next, what kind of a price do you expect to get? Where could she possibly run next time and be more than 3 or 4-1 besides a race like the Classic?
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:06 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

I don't think I saw an impressive race this weekend at the Spa, Rachel's race included.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:09 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
I don't think I saw an impressive race this weekend at the Spa, Rachel's race included.
If you weren't impressed by Uncle Mo then you need to adjust your standards for modern times.

NT
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:11 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
If you weren't impressed by Uncle Mo then you need to adjust your standards for modern times.

NT
Could be. A nice debut. The 2 yr olds who seem to matter at a distance aren't running holes in the wind at Toga as 2 yr olds so take it for what its worth.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:14 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
Could be. A nice debut. The 2 yr olds who seem to matter at a distance aren't running holes in the wind at Toga as 2 yr olds so take it for what its worth.
Whether I think he's going to be good going forward is a different issue, his debut was extremely impressive.

NT
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:14 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
I don't think I saw an impressive race this weekend at the Spa, Rachel's race included.
Uncle Mo and Rapport?
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:16 PM
Seattleallstar's Avatar
Seattleallstar Seattleallstar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,866
Default

Geez this would be an issue if Macho Again caught Rachel in the Woodward. Clearly 9 was the limit, and 10 was pushing it.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 08-31-2010, 11:50 AM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Life at 10 has never gone off higher than 4-1 in her lifetime on dirt, how is she going to be an overlay in her next start? Unless she goes back to turf, but going off of her lone turf try that would be foolish. Furthermore doesn't she regress off of her duel with Rach? Doesn't seem like a great bet to me next out.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:17 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Wherever Life At Ten runs next, what kind of a price do you expect to get? Where could she possibly run next time and be more than 3 or 4-1 besides a race like the Classic?
Like I said - she had a big backform coming into the race ... but I think you'll be surprised at how many people will be looking to play against her next time.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 08-30-2010, 08:21 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
Like I said - she had a big backform coming into the race ... but I think you'll be surprised at how many people will be looking to play against her next time.
But who could they be playing against her with? She's not going to be running against males. Trust me, I understand your point and it's a good one. I just don't know if it's applicable in her case. We'll see.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 08-30-2010, 09:26 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
But who could they be playing against her with? She's not going to be running against males. Trust me, I understand your point and it's a good one. I just don't know if it's applicable in her case. We'll see.
On Betfair going into the PE - Life at Ten was 5/2 and Persistently was 69/1.

On the toteboard the next time the two of them meet - Life At Ten will still be a shorter price ... but I think you'll be extremely surprised by how minimal the spread in odds between those two will be. Life At Ten clearly ran the better race of the two on Sunday imo.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 08-30-2010, 09:52 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
On Betfair going into the PE - Life at Ten was 5/2 and Persistently was 69/1.

On the toteboard the next time the two of them meet - Life At Ten will still be a shorter price ... but I think you'll be extremely surprised by how minimal the spread in odds between those two will be. Life At Ten clearly ran the better race of the two on Sunday imo.
We'll see. Like I said, I agree with your general point, but I can't imagine you'll get a nice price on Life At Ten next time, which is what this entire thread is about.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:10 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.