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#1
08-19-2010, 03:08 AM
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8/19: Saratoga (Day 24-West Point; $61k C/O)
May have let one of the best possible scores of the meet slip by Wednesday when attempt to lean on Silver Timber as single in the feature cost the $3,337.50 ($1) late Pick 4. Julien Leparoux gave the multiple turf sprint stake winning Chad Brown trainee absolutely no chance to win in the Troy, while third choice 'Next Best' Awakino Cat ($14.60) found his seam on the way to the wire. When 'Super Add' Glacier Bay ($26.20) wired the nightcap, it combined with 6th race 'Best Value' Diablo's Fire ($7.20) and 7th race 'Most Likely' Avenging ($15.40) for the bulbous quad payoff.
One hope was that some listeners/readers took defensive cover from the P4 single via P3 plays around the feature; The 6th-8th trioka paid $238.25 while the 7th-9th returned $786.50... It was a quirky day overall as I struggled through the first half of the card before finding winners on the second half. Hope everyone did well and we can come across another opportunity like Wednesday's between now and Labor Day. Carryover in the P6 for the third time in 4 Thursdays where NYRA was ready to seed the sextet with $100,000! SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Opera Heroine 3-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Fourth Chapter 8-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Witchy Meeting 5-2 10th 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Typical Toga juvy event with well breds and well meants. Watch the board as betting barns like McLaughlin's will be clearly active or dead with a horse like #3 Emcee. #1 (POE) Justin Phillip, front end of Zayat ownership entry, is half to fast MSW Keyed Entry and SW Successful Mission, and Steve Asmussen told Seth Merrow and I on 'Keyword: Saratoga" Monday that the First Samurai colt has come along steadily and is well prepared after a long string of drills.. Most Likely: #1 Justin Phillip 2-1 2nd Next Best: #2 SCR Best Value: #3 Banned 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 It's Truly Ahvee 4-1 3rd SCR Add: #5 Major Duomo 15-1 3rd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Next Best: #4 Floating Heart 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 SCR Best Value: #2 Miss Match 5-1 WON ($9.40) Super Add: #7 Manitoba Miss 8-1 5th 4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) #4 D'bigcat to SCR after drawing in and winning off-turfer Monday and no longer eligible for condition.. Most Likely: #5 Fuzzy's Story 3-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Dance Floor Maniac 4-1 WON ($6.30) Best Value: #6 Lion's Lair 8-1 4th 5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Wicky Jones 4-1 4th Next Best: #5 It's My Party 3-1 5th Best Value: #2 Ry Bread 5-1 7th Super Add: #7 Thankfulness 7-2 6th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-3-5-8 3: 2-4-5 4: 2-5-6 5: 5-6 4x3x3x2 = $72 6th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Star of New York 5-2: Collared late; Sits behind speed.. WON ($7.60) Best Value: #5 Capt. Obvious 6-1: May simply prefer dry land.. 3rd Next Best: #4 In Just We Trust 3-1 2nd Super Add: #3 Eltish Star 10-1 4th 7th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Deciphering Dreams 3-1: May be the only actual horse in field.. WON ($5.70) Best Value: #6 Artie Lovesto Party 8-1: Outside shot to be Schiller's first winner.. 10th Next Best: #10 Cerveza de Barril 8-1 6th Super Add: #2 Dual Citizen 10-1 2nd 8th: West Point-NY, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Straight Story 5-2: Class edge but pace pressure adds intrigue.. WON ($4.10) Best Value: #2 Minnie Punt 9-2: Logical value inclusion saving ground for rally.. 7th Next Best: #10 Banrock 3-1: Tough, consistent and loves the strip.. 4th Super Add: #11 Piazza Di Spagna 30-1: In deep, but collapse potential and he'll run late.. 8th 9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super) Quality turf sprint with bona fide faves and well-priced dirt-turf movers to consider.. Most Likely: #2 I've Got Speed 7-2 2nd Next Best: #5 Delano 4-1 3rd Best Value: #8 Bonavento 6-1 8th Super Add: #7 Delong Road 12-1 5th 10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super) Hard to get enthused about 5-2 ML favorite Such Time as This whose figs were earned at DelPark.. Best Value: #9 Jazzy Moves 5-1 5th Next Best: #1 SCR Exotics Use: #10 Cover Story 5-1 4th Super Add: #7 Song for Pupcake 8-1 2nd SCR Add: #2 Such Time as This 5-2 WON ($6.30) <$200 P6 Play: 5: 5-6 6: 2-4-5 7: 8 8: 2-7 9: 2-5-7-8 10: 9-10 2x3x1x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 6-8-10 8: 2-7-10 9: 2-5-7-8 10: 9-10 3x3x4x2 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 08-20-2010 at 03:42 AM. 
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#2
08-19-2010, 07:05 AM
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Quote:
Best of luck today! NT
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#3
08-19-2010, 07:38 AM
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Very interesting card today, G/L everyone.
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#4
08-19-2010, 12:15 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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