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Old 08-16-2010, 07:23 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 8/16: Saratoga (Day 22-Special; $63k C/O)

Number of crazy horses spiced up the Sunday Spa action and produced a nice $63k P6 carryover for Monday. The pinnacle of surprises certainly was Dallas Stewart's MSW winner Marvel Gaye ($69.00) who upset a field full of better bred baby girls with a strong finish under Kent Desormeaux.

I didn't get much of anything on the afternoon, though Best Value top choice Fancy Fiona ($19.20) in the 5th and dead heat double trifecta payoffs in the 4th took the edge of P4 and P3 shutouts. The score that I missed was the 3rd-4th-5th Pick 3 that returned $624.00 ($1) with Who's Willie Fitz ($44.80) starting it before Happy Week and Fancy Fiona. I had added Willie to the plays as a SCR Add, but didn't have a P3 ticket with him on it.

The monstrous Del Mar carry spread a little prize money ($3,666) to a lot of players with generally formful results. I caught 5 of 6 for a $66.60 conso. Hope you did OK Sunday and well over the weekend! Ron Anderson, Steve Asmussen and Michael Blowen join Seth Merrow and I this morning on "Keyword: Saratoga" on Capital OTB Channel 12, and a tricky carryover card at the Spa could provide another day of nice mutuels...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Firey Red 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Consequence 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Weekend Fantasy 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Go Ask Alex 12-1 3rd


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, NO Super)

Best Value: #5 Thatagirl 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Hurricane Barb 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Tea Party Gal 5-1 4th


3rd: Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Kantharos 4-5 WON ($2.30)
Next Best: #1 Bail Out the Cat 8-5


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$63k P6 C/O Starts Here..

Most Likely: #1 Grand Terror 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Stylish Fella 4-1 WON ($8.50)
Best Value: #7 Dark Cove 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Dare to Live 10-1 4th


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Yet another one of these terrific NY turf ALW's. Respect the top choices, but be sure to include prices because they will be in the mix..

Most Likely: #1 Justify 7-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Gitchee Goomie LATE SCR
Best Value: #10 Sounds Familiar 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Tutti Va Bene 12-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-5-7
3: 4
4: 1-4-7-8-9
5: 1-7/SCR-10

3x1x5x3 = $45


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Sit Chilly 6-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Lemon Tiger 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Goodgollymissdolly 10-1 7th
Super Add: #10 My Sweet Emily 15-1 8th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Run to Grand Ave. 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #4 Renewed Hope 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Adams Circle 4-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Papa Frita 8-1 3rd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Given difficult of rest of the P6 sequence, most will have to live with Tahitian Warrior as a single. But shouldn't he be running in the King's Bishop?

Most Likely: #2 Tahitian Warrior 1-1 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #4 Starforaday 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Uwannapieceofthis 8-1 3rd



9th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #15 D'bigcat 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #8 Regal Soul 12-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Dixie Night Out 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #14 Broken Home 8-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-7-8
5: 1-7
6: 4-8
7: 3-4-6-10
8: 2
9: 8-15

3x2x2x4x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-8
7: 3-4-6-10
8: 2
9: 7-8-14-15

3x4x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-16-2010 at 08:17 PM.
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  #2  
Old 08-16-2010, 08:56 AM
arizonadave
 
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Steve, you might check your numbers in the P4 and P6 in race #7. one is 3,4,6,10 and the other is 3,4,6,8. good luck today.
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  #3  
Old 08-16-2010, 08:57 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
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Posts: 11,024
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Given difficult of rest of the P6 sequence, most will have to live with Tahitian Warrior as a single. But shouldn't he be running in the King's Bishop in?

Most Likely: #2 Tahitian Warrior 1-1

Steve
Betsy is managing his campaign.
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Old 08-16-2010, 10:47 AM
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tiggerv tiggerv is offline
Fairgrounds
 
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Location: Baby Gorilla
Posts: 1,533
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9th race off the turf
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  #5  
Old 08-16-2010, 11:36 AM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,220
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Scratches
Race 1 #1 Honorable Truth, #9 Ultimate Class, #10 Hilda's Passion, #11 Ain't Love Grand, #12 Sneaky Girl

Race 2 #8 Deja Blu, #4 Status Pending

Race 3 #2 Wetzel, #1A Sovereign Default

Race 5 #5 Laylaben

Race 6 #11 Casa Di Vino, #13 Msjerseyroulette, #14 Wise Choice, #15 Lost At Dawn, #16 Mythical Yarn, #12 Cover Story

Race 7 #5 Forty Third Recon

Race 8 #1 Kens Cape, #6 Spirit of Cochise, #8 Speight of Hand

Race 9 #1 Full Tilt Noogie, #4 Targhee Pass, #12 I'm Entitled, #13 Fuzzy's Story, #9 Mississippi Hippie, #3 City Sneakers
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  #6  
Old 08-16-2010, 12:11 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,703
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SAR SCR/CHG'S

Tricky day made trickier by weather issues... Good luck all!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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