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#1
07-26-2010, 05:09 AM
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7-26: Saratoga (Day 4-Shipman; $48k C/O)
Busy morning with 9-10a ATR and then Capital OTB-TV 10:30-11:30a, but wanted to be sure everyone enjoyed the weekend. Especially wonderful Sunday with more than 40 Dee Tee partners, family and friends attending Ausable Chasm's debut. The filly was short and tired to 6th, but had an overall positive experience through several tough elements including the rail draw and heavy mud flung at her for half mile. She'll come back August 16 or 22.
Was a nice day from a wagering standpoint Sunday as well with a few good opinions and plays coming through including the $123.50 exacta in the Sanford. I have to apologize for transcribing the 2nd race selections into the P4 incorrectly though, as that botched the modest $90.50 payoff. Third race longshot try A Smart Judge gave a great effort at an overlaid 27-1 as well, though you had to settle for the exacta with the 4-5 Morrison comebacker Cody Samora. Hope you did well! Carryover today of $48k... SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES NOTE: 6th RACE IS OFF THE TURF 1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Moon Nistle 3-1 2nd Best Value: #7 SCR Next Best: #2 SCR Super Add: #8 Fiery Rebel 8-1 4th 2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Yeah they're dime claimers, but a fun betting race with a few in here at double digits worth including or working from.. Most Likely: #1 Taza 9-2 7th Best Value: #4 By the Sky 15-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Zippy Larry 5-2 4th Super Add: #3 First Flute 12-1 9th 3rd: 29th Evan Shipman, NY-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Good balanced edition of this Empire standard named for the brilliant turf scribe.. Most Likely: #7 Ichabad Crane 3-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Giant Moon 5-2 WON ($3.70) Best Value: #3 Groomed for Victory 5-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Mighty Morris 4-1 7th 4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) P6 carryover of $48,600 starts here.. Pretty good group of maidens for $25k.. Best Value: #9 Avenging 6-1 6th Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Bird Empire 4-1 9th Super Add: #4 Mystic Fever 7-2 WON ($9.50) 5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Very tricky group of quality turf gals with a couple eligible to jump up and win with the right trip.. Best Value: #6 Queen of the Creek 6-1 WON ($7.50) Most Likely: #1 Diamond Dina 3-1 4th Next Best: #9 Hot Trip 12-1 5th Super Add: #8 Consequence 4-1 3rd <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-3-4-6 3: 5-7 4: 2-8-9 5: 1-6-9 4x2x3x3 = $72 6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Electra's Ego 3-1 4th Best Value: #11 Hennessy Light 8-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Bernie's Pal 7-2 WON ($4.40) Super Add: #13 Mahogany Mist 10-1 9th 7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Platinum Plus 3-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Honorable Truth 8-1 WON ($25.60) Next Best: #6 Mollyisintheclouds 5-1 4th Super Add: #1 Double Dinghy Day 5-1 3rd $1 Exacta (7-3) Paid $45.25 $1 Trifecta (7-3-1) Paid $243.50 $1 Superfecta (7-3-1-6) Paid $886.00 8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Checklist 3-1 WON ($7.80) Best Value: #5 Dr. W 5-1 4th Next Best: #6 Hamazing Destiny 5-2 3rd Super Add: #3 Rollers 4-1 7th 9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Utterly treacherous nightcap that could derail anyone's P6 play. Wild card is Ramsey 'Kitten' firster that gives mixed signals with Wes Ward not as strong debuting them around two turns, though solid bowing in MCLM company. You get Leparoux and 10-1, and this isn't exactly the an Ascot field of turfers.. Most Likely: #7 Lamar Valley 7-2 WON ($13.20) Next Best: #11 Pico Dinero 9-2 2nd Best Value: #9 Brad's Kitten 10-1 11th Super Adds: #4 Pagan Ruler 8-1 8th; #10 Maloof Magic 8-1 10th <$200 P6 Play: 4: 2-8 (4-9) 5: 1-6 6: 1-8-11 7: 3 8: 4 9: 4-7-9-11 <$200: 4x2x3x1x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192 $2 P6 (4/6/3,4,5,7,8,9/7/4/7) Paid $200.00 (5 OF 6) <$100: 2x2x3x1x1x4 = 48 x $2 = $96 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-8-11 7: 3-7 8: 4-5-6 9: 4-7-9-11 3x2x3x4 = $72 $1 P4 (3,4,5,7,8,9/7/4/7) Paid $696.50 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-26-2010 at 08:30 PM. 
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#2
07-26-2010, 06:09 AM
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Rain overnight in Saratoga Springs??
Still too early for updates about turf races from NYRA. Any predictions about which races will be on/off. Montgomery County Maryland continues it's Rod Serling weather patterns yesterday as for the first time in my lifetime the Emergency Broadcast System was activated with a tornado sighting that ripped through the area knocking out power overnight in the majority of the county per PEPCO. This little 10 square mile area has seen in 2010: 1) 9 feet of snow in 11 days this winter. An event beyond bizzare. 2) The largest east coast earthquake in 100 years last week with the epicenter a mile away 3) An activation of the EBS for a tornado that left the county in the stone age for power overnight having dropped 2 inches of rain in 20 minutes that would have made Helen Hunt and her flying cow proud!! What could possibly be left?
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#4
07-26-2010, 06:38 AM
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Quote:
I'd rather play a dirt race in the late P4 than a turf sprint, but I can never make consistent sense of the decisions these guys make given the dark day in this case to allow the course to recover a bit. Maybe this will someday be part of the "Stewards Explanations" movement they are advertising this year and they will actually tell the players how they come to these decisions.
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#5
07-26-2010, 11:23 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
07-26-2010, 03:42 PM
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Byk at Saratoga is better than Christmas. I had the 7th race tri thanks to Mr. Byk. Thank you 243 times. You are incredible. I am going to start a Saratoga fund today so that next year I can make a road trip to thank you in person and sample your BBQ.
Tom
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#15
07-26-2010, 07:29 PM
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very nice hits steve, keep it going.
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#18
07-26-2010, 10:16 PM
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Great job Steve!!!!!!If only to hit that pk6
 that is a slippery bet. But overall, I've just got to say and  .
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#19
07-26-2010, 11:15 PM
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Quote:
The Political/Society Room Gay Yacht Club Gang holds their annual convention in Montgomery County Maryland ...next week.
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#20
07-27-2010, 05:15 AM
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Quote:
Too, too kind. Thanks a lot... Had a good handle on that race and am pleased you hit. And you absolutely need to get to Saratoga. Some will scoff at this, but it's getting better and better in a lot of ways... Hope you get the chance to visit next year or as soon as you can!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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