Kasept/Oracle

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

Good point Randall.. The trainers for all the other horses are probably thinking BC next... except Dutrow for SILVER TRAIN. It's highly unlikely they ship him to Churchill.. this is his BC, being at Belmont(his favorite track--by far ) I think he gets it done, again.

Zippy, I'll let price be my guide tomorrow. I think Silver and War Front are closer than people think, the Tom Fool sort of proved that out, but if War Front is significantly higher in price I'd have to play there, even though I think Silver Train is the more likely winner....Henny is a monster but he has to show me against older just like Wait a While did last week.

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Zippy, I'll let price be my guide tomorrow. I think Silver and War Front are closer than people think, the Tom Fool sort of proved that out, but if War Front is significantly higher in price I'd have to play there, even though I think Silver Train is the more likely winner....Henny is a monster but he has to show me against older just like Wait a While did last week.

I have a lot of respect for War Front.. I watched the replay of the Tom Fool the other day, and you're right, they're very close. If War Front stays close to his morning line odds (7/2), he's a very smart value play. I think Silver Train may actually be higher that he should be too(6/5 is about right to me), because a lot of money will be dumped on HH. It will be interesting to see where the odds shake out...

[tycharles01]

Well Silver Train should and will take alot of money. Question is do people think Henny Hughes can get the lead and take it around going on the rail?? IF so you might even be able to get a little better odds on War Front

Its a prep Tim, its not the end all of his existence. Hes also had surgery, I wouldn't bet him tomorrow against three very fast horses who are in form, no way.

[Seattleallstar]

atillas storm sucks

[Gander]

Okay the more I look at this race, the less confident I am in War Front. He seems to run his best races off layoffs of at least 2-3 months. While he has had time off (1 month), I am not crazy about how hard hes being worked.
While I definetely think he can win and break this tendency to only run huge numbers off layoffs, his price wont be any better than 3/1 in here.

I am starting to think Attillas Storm will be more than just a pace factor in here. Fresh speed is the best speed. I think this horse clears off and will take a lot of catching. This trainer's numbers off layoffs are pretty good and his price will be in the neighborhood of 6/1. Might be the only real huge value of the field.

While I love War Front, I dont consider 3/1 value on too many horses.