![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
|
|
#1
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
****. I'd better get cracking on 'capping bigger tracks. I thought DrugS was serious about his penis and jerking off, thanks for clearing up the fact that he is only joking. |
|
#2
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
![]() ![]() ![]() |
|
#3
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
As for the penis jokes, maybe you guys could PM each other pictures of each others cocks and have a grand old time. Personally, I think it is pretty childish and I can't believe Steve allows it. It ruins a lot of threads around here. |
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
And this post will probably be deleted because heaven forbid you guys receive any criticism. |
|
#5
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
Quote:
![]()
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you |
|
#6
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#7
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
I looked at handle for 3 days: Date Attendance On Track Handle Off Track Handle 7/01 518 $28,509 $620,747 7/02 823 $38,754 $280,170 7/03 1045 $46,255 $156,972 (why is this so low?) I'm too lazy to compare these to other smaller tracks. But it appears that it would take more than $40 wagers to turn a profit into a loss. Of course, there are incredible odds swings at this track. Not to imply that I disgree with your overall premise. |
|
#8
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#9
|
||||
|
||||
|
My guess why the 7/3 handle is low is because the smaller tracks face fierce Saturday competition from all the other tracks open Sat. I think FL biggest day is Mon ., for instance.
__________________
Tom Cooley photo |
|
#10
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
I am very familiar with the pool sizes of PID. Let's do a little exercise here: The last race run had a mutuel pool of $14,219. For argument's sake let's say 50% of that was the win pool ($7,109) and takeout at PID on WPS is 17% ($5,901). The winner went off at 4.4-1, which means he had $1,093 on him to win. Add in your $40 bet ($33 after takeout) to the pool and on the winner and your $10.80 winner drops to $10.60 or $10.40, depending on breakage. That's either -1.8% or -3.6% on a common-priced winner, far from enough to crush your suggested +20% ROI. FYI, for a $40 bet to depress the odds enough to eradicate a 20% the horse would have to pay over $74. I can guarantee to you anyone betting horses at PID at 36-1 has a permanent bed in the poor house.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you |
|
#11
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
How much do you know about betting that you are trying to fool us into thinking 50% of the action is in the win pool? 25% is fair....at best. Suddenly a $40 bet drops the price as much as 60 cents. But, you have to realize this isn't the entire point. The other part of the point is that the betting crowd isn't sophisticated, which leads to relative overlays, so while in theory you can say this would make it easier to make money, there are still two problems here. One, as was already stated, even minor bets significantly change the prices....and two, the paper ROI is rendered meaningless by both the first reason and the second that there is no sophisticated money in the pools. Both factors that inflate the paper ROI would significantly deflate it in the real world.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
|
#12
|
||||
|
||||
|
I like both boards, so I'm not going to get into a pissing contest about that. I will say more threads get edited or deleted here than at PA. I'm just amazed cock references and masturbation techniques seem to be acceptable.
|
|
#13
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
I'd actually prefer that people not be thin-skinned, piss-stained handwringers about stuff like that...espeically when I know they're not that way. We are all just animals. Squirrels looking for a nut, Chimps looking for a frog. |