Put a fork in the Red Sox

[gales0678]

now is when the going gets tough for these red sox let's see what they do over the next 48 game stretch

they sit 2 games behind the yanks in the loss column

i say when aug 15 rolls around it will be a lot bigger defecit for them to overcome

in my opinion it will be too great

of the 48 games 32 will be on the road where they just don't play nearly as well as they do at fenway

i give them 13 -19 on those road games

the 16 games at home , they should go 11-5 on the homes games which , will have them going 24-24 or .500 over the next 48 games , not eneough to keep the pace with thy yanks or rays

sorry chuck

[MaTH716]

Marty, The Red Sox actually have a better winning % on the road then the Yanks.

[gales0678]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Marty, The Red Sox actually have a better winning % on the road then the Yanks.

take a look at the teams that they have played on the road to date

now take a look at the road trips coming up in this next 48 game strectch

2 trips to the west coast

and a 10 game trip at the end with ny , tor and tex

how many west coast swings have they had so far , how many times have they played in balt , they don't get balt at all on this trip

they gotta face jiminez in colorado and lincecum in sf this week , not going to be easy

put me down for 24-24 over the next 48 , what do you think they will go over the stretch?

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by gales0678

take a look at the teams that they have played on the road to date

now take a look at the road trips coming up in this next 48 game strectch

2 trips to the west coast

and a 10 game trip at the end with ny , tor and tex

how many west coast swings have they had so far , how many times have they played in balt , they don't get balt at all on this trip

they gotta face jiminez in colorado and lincecum in sf this week , not going to be easy

put me down for 24-24 over the next 48 , what do you think they will go over the stretch?

I just think that they are getting it done right now without Beckett and Dice K (other various injuries). What's going to happen when those guys come back? Also you would think that they are going to upgrade the offense in the near future (heard rumors of Prince Fielder). And for some reason they decided to get into the Cliff Lee sweepstakes, they could have a truely scary rotation. Not sure about the next 48, obviously the health of the team remains a mystery. But they do have games against the Birds and Tribe at home. So my guess is 27-21 in the next 48.

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by gales0678

now is when the going gets tough for these red sox let's see what they do over the next 48 game stretch

they sit 2 games behind the yanks in the loss column

i say when aug 15 rolls around it will be a lot bigger defecit for them to overcome

in my opinion it will be too great

of the 48 games 32 will be on the road where they just don't play nearly as well as they do at fenway

i give them 13 -19 on those road games

the 16 games at home , they should go 11-5 on the homes games which , will have them going 24-24 or .500 over the next 48 games , not eneough to keep the pace with thy yanks or rays

sorry chuck

The next 48 gme stretch? LOL! That's close to 1/3rd of the season. You havent been right about Boston yet. You just take numbers out of the sky, make projections on those numbers and declare this as gospel?

This entire thread has been laughable since it was started. The race should be great this summer and if any team were to fade my money would be on Tampa since many of their pitchers way overperformed early in the season and may be on their way to evening out.

[gales0678]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

The next 48 gme stretch? LOL! That's close to 1/3rd of the season. You havent been right about Boston yet. You just take numbers out of the sky, make projections on those numbers and declare this as gospel?

This entire thread has been laughable since it was started. The race should be great this summer and if any team were to fade my money would be on Tampa since many of their pitchers way overperformed early in the season and may be on their way to evening out.

these numbers are not out of the sky chuck

they are 43-28

they have played 41 at home and only 30 on the road

they are 17-13 on the road with no west coast trips yet , they get 2 west coast trips over the next 48 games chuck

the red sox will be done by travers day chuck , they will at best go .500 over these next 48 games

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by gales0678

these numbers are not out of the sky chuck

they are 43-28

they have played 41 at home and only 30 on the road

they are 17-13 on the road with no west coast trips yet , they get 2 west coast trips over the next 48 games chuck

the red sox will be done by travers day chuck , they will at best go .500 over these next 48 games

Why do you think they will have trouble on the West Coast? Seattle is awful, oakland is average at best, The Angels are not a great team at home and are having pitching issues, The West coast NL teams just arent that good especially matched up with AL teams. Boston is 43-28 and are currently trotting an outfield of Daniel Nava, Darnell McDonald and Bill hall...and winning. They have the deepest pitching staff, best bullpen and are leading the league in offensive production. This despite missing Ellsbury and Cameron for most of the season and Beckett for quite a few starts.

And unlike Tampa they may add at the deadline. You are so biased against them that you confuse wishful thinking with reality.

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Why do you think they will have trouble on the West Coast? Seattle is awful, oakland is average at best, The Angels are not a great team at home and are having pitching issues, The West coast NL teams just arent that good especially matched up with AL teams. Boston is 43-28 and are currently trotting an outfield of Daniel Nava, Darnell McDonald and Bill hall...and winning. They have the deepest pitching staff, best bullpen and are leading the league in offensive production. This despite missing Ellsbury and Cameron for most of the season and Beckett for quite a few starts.

And unlike Tampa they may add at the deadline. You are so biased against them that you confuse wishful thinking with reality.

[Cannon Shell]

http://sports.espn.go.com/new-york/m...ory?id=5312872

Think this will help the Yankees? There may be a Chan Ho Park sighting in place of Hughes. If the yankees are serious about 175 inning limit what exactly are they going to do if they make the playoffs? Bench thier best starter this year?

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

http://sports.espn.go.com/new-york/m...ory?id=5312872

Think this will help the Yankees? There may be a Chan Ho Park sighting in place of Hughes. If the yankees are serious about 175 inning limit what exactly are they going to do if they make the playoffs? Bench thier best starter this year?

It's almost like they are looking for a reason to go after Cliff Lee.

[gales0678]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Why do you think they will have trouble on the West Coast? Seattle is awful, oakland is average at best, The Angels are not a great team at home and are having pitching issues, The West coast NL teams just arent that good especially matched up with AL teams. Boston is 43-28 and are currently trotting an outfield of Daniel Nava, Darnell McDonald and Bill hall...and winning. They have the deepest pitching staff, best bullpen and are leading the league in offensive production. This despite missing Ellsbury and Cameron for most of the season and Beckett for quite a few starts.

And unlike Tampa they may add at the deadline. You are so biased against them that you confuse wishful thinking with reality.

chuck i'm a realist , i look at the scehdule , the hard part of their season is the next 48 games , going .500 over those 48 games will be tough and just going .500 will probably lose ground to the yanks and rays over the same time peroid because the schedule is easier for those 2 teams , the yankees have the easiest by far over this stretch

so after these 48 games boston will have done well if they are within 6 - 7 games of yankees and rays as well

good luck chuck it starts tonight in colorado , my guess this week is a 3 - 3 road trip vs NL west teams

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by gales0678

chuck i'm a realist , i look at the scehdule , the hard part of their season is the next 48 games , going .500 over those 48 games will be tough and just going .500 will probably lose ground to the yanks and rays over the same time peroid because the schedule is easier for those 2 teams , the yankees have the easiest by far over this stretch

so after these 48 games boston will have done well if they are within 6 - 7 games of yankees and rays as well

good luck chuck it starts tonight in colorado , my guess this week is a 3 - 3 road trip vs NL west teams

How do you know how tough it is going to be a month and a half in advance? Hell teams can go on bad streaks at the drop of a hat. How does your crystal ball tell who is going to be playing well three weeks from now? In your mind the Yankees and Rays are going to go 31-17 over that same period. That is even more unlikely than boston going 24-24. You are saying that those two teams will play win at a .646 rate when they have played at a .614 (Tampa .609)rate so far this season.

[Cannon Shell]

A quick glance at the schedule reveals 13 games against Seattle, Cleveland and baltimore. They will be favs in everyone of those games unless they catch King Felix against someone other than Lester.


Using the marty theory of just guessing what the wins and losses are I have Boston going 28-20 over the next 48.