5/29-30 (BEL): Vagrancy (G2); NYB Stakes; Met (G1), Sands Pt. (G2)

[paulo537]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Can we get Gales on here to tell us about how Musket Man is going to run huge? Or is he just going to get beat by Warrior's Reward for the 3rd time and Quality Road too?

NT

How do you think Musket Man ran?

[Travis Stone]

I've been trying to figure out what Warrior's Reward was doing so close to the pace, and moving with 3/8's to go, when we've seen how he excels in his most recent few starts.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

I've been trying to figure out what Warrior's Reward was doing so close to the pace, and moving with 3/8's to go, when we've seen how he excels in his most recent few starts.

Borel must have an evil twin that rides outside of CD. That was a silly ride to be kind.

[blackthroatedwind]

It looks like the raw number is 114 which makes sense given a 98 for Miner's Reserve and 104 for Driven by Success.

[Betsy]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

It looks like the raw number is 114 which makes sense given a 98 for Miner's Reserve and 104 for Driven by Success.

Does the raw figure mean that it's just a preliminary figure and will be adjusted? I would have figured a BSF of at least 100 based on the fact that the races prior to Miner's Reserve seemed slow.

In any case, it was nice to see him run back to his maiden win. I never liked him running in the Florida Derby, but I expected him to do better than he did; I suppose he just hated the mud at CD.

[Port Conway Lane]

Did someone mention Dunkirk ?

[philcski]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

It looks like the raw number is 114 which makes sense given a 98 for Miner's Reserve and 104 for Driven by Success.

I get similar numbers for those two (99 & 104)... which would give QR a 120 or 121 because 1:33.11 should be 16 or 17 points faster than 1:21.75. It should be a -14 point variant for the day so the first race gets a 69 and the 3rd a 56.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by philcski

I get similar numbers for those two (99 & 104)... which would give QR a 120 or 121 because 1:33.11 should be 16 or 17 points faster than 1:21.75. It should be a -14 point variant for the day so the first race gets a 69 and the 3rd a 56.

Sorry, but I don't see how a 1:33 corresponds to a 1:20 1/5 which is basically what you are saying.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Sorry, but I don't see how a 1:33 corresponds to a 1:20 1/5 which is basically what you are saying.

Correct, that is what I'm saying... a 1:34 corresponds to a 1:21.25, and a 1:35 corresponds to a 1:22 1/5- so I don't think I'm wrong by much.

[VOL JACK]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Borel must have an evil twin that rides outside of CD. That was a silly ride to be kind.

[philcski]

All in all, I don't think anyone needs a number to know what an incredible performance that was anyways.

Tizway also ran monster.

[blackthroatedwind]

Agreed.

Tizway is a terrific horse. I was particularly happy he ran so well.

[richard]

"And Musket Man is firing at Quality Road !" Great stretch call by Durkin.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by paulo537

How do you think Musket Man ran?

I think he ran a phenomenal race, he got a beautiful ride and ran clearly the best race of his career.

NT