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  #1  
Old 10-02-2006, 02:09 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by todko
It's always good to be able to go against a favorite. Barring any unforeseen developments Bernardini will be a heavy favorite. He's a baby of the press. He's run some solid times but no records -- and in every major race his primary competition has been injured -- Barbaro in the Preakness, Sunriver in the Jim Dandy, and Bluegrass Cat in the Travers. He's beaten Grade III/allowance company at best. I'll throw out a tired Brother Derek (who has yet to prove he can still race effectively) and a tired Sweetnorthernsaint (who has yet to prove he can even make it back to the track) in the Preakness.

For me, Bernardini is a solid bet against in the BC Classic.

If he runs, and he should, Perfect Drift would be a good price play. Bernardini has never faced a horse that good and PD just ran a hell of a race in the KY Classic. He's run against the best horses in racing since the '70s (including Bid here) in Ghostzapper, St. Liam, Congaree, Roses in May, Pleasantly Perfect. He'll have JuLep in the irons, he's Dynaformer, he's run well at CD, and he'll get the 10F with or without tough fractions.

I don't know where Bright One stands, but Bright One and Discreet Cat are two 3 year olds who could beat Bernardini. Not to mention the older horses. We'll know more as the field shapes up. It's got to be better than the joke they are calling the Jockey Club Gold Cup. That's not a race -- that's a joke.
You knock Bernardini and then say Perfect Drift ran a hell of a race in the KY Classic?!? (which is a much larger of a joke of a race than this year's JCGC, or even last year's awful of an edition for that matter) Unless you think Ball Four is the Ghostzapper of today, then it is very obvious that Perfect Drift is the has been of racing.
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  #2  
Old 10-02-2006, 02:16 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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I actually hope he loses this race so there are more question marks come BC Day, stone cold single for me in the Classic and him running a good 3rd or 2nd will be better for my odds then him winning by 3. He might be even money if he wins the JCGC.
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  #3  
Old 10-02-2006, 02:19 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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Scavs if he wins on Saturday there is zero chance of him being even money on BCC day. If Fusaichi was 4-5 coming off the Jerome, Berarnd has gotten twice the press and may be as low as 3-5 no matter who shows up.
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  #4  
Old 10-02-2006, 02:40 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35
Scavs if he wins on Saturday there is zero chance of him being even money on BCC day. If Fusaichi was 4-5 coming off the Jerome, Berarnd has gotten twice the press and may be as low as 3-5 no matter who shows up.
wishful thinking, which is why I hope he runs 2nd or 3rd this Saturday
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  #5  
Old 10-02-2006, 02:20 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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A point that has not been discussed concerning Bernardini is that he most likely will continue to improve as he grows more mature. Being that he is at the very least as fast as the top older runners, the thought of him improving is really interesting. However we still dont know if those "sporting" men of arabia will let us ever find out how good he can be.
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  #6  
Old 10-02-2006, 02:27 PM
Bold Reasoning
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
A point that has not been discussed concerning Bernardini is that he most likely will continue to improve as he grows more mature. Being that he is at the very least as fast as the top older runners, the thought of him improving is really interesting. However we still dont know if those "sporting" men of arabia will let us ever find out how good he can be.
Being by A.P. Indy, he should get even better as he ages. He is like fine wine. I think the Sheikh takes great pride in him; his Darley is the listed breeder. Hopefully, Darley will let us enjoy this special horse next year.
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  #7  
Old 10-02-2006, 03:44 PM
todko todko is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
You knock Bernardini and then say Perfect Drift ran a hell of a race in the KY Classic?!? (which is a much larger of a joke of a race than this year's JCGC, or even last year's awful of an edition for that matter) Unless you think Ball Four is the Ghostzapper of today, then it is very obvious that Perfect Drift is the has been of racing.
Let's face it -- Graded Stakes are not what they used to be (especially Grade I and Grade IIs). It's true on both coasts and everywhere else.
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  #8  
Old 10-02-2006, 03:49 PM
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Cash Call is going to have a record day if he loses in the BCC.
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