100k to win...

[Danzig]

betting on borel probably...


my sentimental fave is the filly. would love to see a gal win it. maybe it'd put some of the eight belles stuff to rest.

[westcoastinvader]

Originally Posted by Danzig

betting on borel probably...

In the interview immediately after the race the $900,000 guy mentioned he noted Calvin Borel already had winners on the day when he placed the $100,000 on Super Saver.

[Merlinsky]

What kind of impact did that have on Super Saver's odds given a lot of money is bet on him and on Calvin already? I wondered how much the 8-1 drop to 7-1 was that, and how much was just a bunch of last minute runs to the windows. Surely it's a boatload of money as is. Can the needle really move that much with 100K at this point?

[robfla]

OMG

[Merlinsky]

Wow I don't know who's a luckier, Calvin or that win bet guy.

[Arletta]

Great race!

[Left Bank]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbWg-mozGsU

[onebadbeast]

he can buy a new hairpiece!!!! alot of them!!!

[herkhorse]

That guy was one happy dude

[Arletta]

Originally Posted by Left Bank

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbWg-mozGsU

[art vanderlay]

With that money he can buy a new toupe

[Left Bank]

That dude just won a shitload of cash.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

What kind of impact did that have on Super Saver's odds given a lot of money is bet on him and on Calvin already? I wondered how much the 8-1 drop to 7-1 was that, and how much was just a bunch of last minute runs to the windows. Surely it's a boatload of money as is. Can the needle really move that much with 100K at this point?

There's no doubt Super Saver was an underlay yesterday, 100K into the win pool, plus the Borel effect, and the publicity the bet generated on this pick no doubt lowered SS's odds. Overall I don't know if I approve of these gimmick plays; however you have to say good on that guy for picking the winner, that's 2 for 2 with last year's Goldikova win bet.

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

What kind of impact did that have on Super Saver's odds given a lot of money is bet on him and on Calvin already? I wondered how much the 8-1 drop to 7-1 was that, and how much was just a bunch of last minute runs to the windows. Surely it's a boatload of money as is. Can the needle really move that much with 100K at this point?

$0.60 according to Steve Crist: http://cristblog.drf.com/crist/2010/05/sixty-cents.html

The $100,000 increased Super Saver's share of the win pool from 8.97 % to 9.27 %, dropping his odds from 8.36-1 to 8.06-1 (after breakage, from 8.30-1 to 8.00-1.) So it appears that Super Saver would have paid $18.60 rather than $18.00 to win had the bet not been part of the pool. Conversely, had Ice Box finished first rather than 2nd, he would have paid $25.40, but without the bet he would have paid $25.20.