Separating The Field

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Few contenders for me in this field.
By post.
1. Lookin at Lucky- An underlay as a fave but a horse I think you have to include. Has trained well in the slop and his lone dirt race was among the fastest in this field.
Obviously the post is a hindrance in a 20 horse field but this is not a stellar group of horses we are talking about. I expect him to hit the board and will use him accordingly. Late May foal won't even be 3 for the race. Still getting better.
...

Think any one of the top 3 can win but my tickets will be geared mainly towards the top 2 on top and in 2nd.
1. American Lion
2. Lookin At Lucky
3. Ice Box
4. Discreetly Mine

Randall, you start off saying that Lookin At Lucky is an underlay, then you end up using him as a key horse. That makes no sense to me.


--Dunbar

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Randall, you start off saying that Lookin At Lucky is an underlay, then you end up using him as a key horse. That makes no sense to me.


--Dunbar

I don't like betting faves in 20 horse fields. I thought he'd go off at 4 or 5-1 when which is a slight underlay to me considering he breaks from the 1 hole....There are obviously times when a fave is straight up bad, I don't think he is one....MTB was an underlay last year at 50-1 by a lot. Just speaking from an odds perspective.

[randallscott35]

If the early odds are any indication than 7-1 is a very fair price on the horse. 4-1 doesn't do much for me...I will still use in all exotics....FYI I have an 80.5-1 future on Ice Box so that's covered for me anyway.

[Seattleallstar]

i wish i never read this or came on during Derby week. I threw out Super Saver because of what you wrote, instead I do something stupid and replace 4 with Conveyance but thats my mistake a 101k mistake..arghhhhhhhhhh

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar

i wish i never read this or came on during Derby week. I threw out Super Saver because of what you wrote, instead I do something stupid and replace 4 with Conveyance but thats my mistake a 101k mistake..arghhhhhhhhhh

You let someone else's opinion govern what u bet? Seriously? Make a stand and stick with it-figured you would know this by now, Jerry?

This thread is officially EPIC.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by Coach Pants

This thread is officially EPIC.

At least there wasn't anyone dumb enough to say something like a 47.2 split is just as slow as a 48.4 split.