Alphie's Bet

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by Scav

If they run in the Belmont he is gonna be finished. He needs a break. Yesterday he got the setup of the century and the only reason he won was because of his class. Smith was asking him from backside on. He should have won that race by open lengths.

If they give him 90 days, he is gonna be a real serious horse out in California next year, and can probably win the Malibu, a stallion making race. If they don't, I doubt he survives.

No, No, No.

He didn't get a good setup. The 2nd horse tried to wire and he ran him down. He did so without any help. Nothing in the field ever bid at the pacesetter. AB was the only horse running in the race. You could argue that there wasn't much in the race or that he probably won't get 12F but he ran well the other day and he did so against the setup.

[Fulla Sheets]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

No, No, No.

He didn't get a good setup. The 2nd horse tried to wire and he ran him down. He did so without any help. Nothing in the field ever bid at the pacesetter. AB was the only horse running in the race. You could argue that there wasn't much in the race or that he probably won't get 12F but he ran well the other day and he did so against the setup.

There was also somewhat of a speed bias that day on the main track. Of the 8 races, 5 of them were won by a horse going gate to wire.

[golfer]

He really hasn't been "set-up" in any of his 3 victories. In my opinion, the Hollywood surface is not his best. I predict, if given the opportunity, he can be one of the top 3 year old turf horses in the country. We'll see how that plays out.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by golfer

He really hasn't been "set-up" in any of his 3 victories. In my opinion, the Hollywood surface is not his best. I predict, if given the opportunity, he can be one of the top 3 year old turf horses in the country. We'll see how that play's out.

I thought his maiden win on turf , albeit against weak horses, was very solid.

NT