DERBY NEWS (4/25): Eskendereya out; Lookin at Lucky new fave..

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Gaining Ground

i guess im in the minority, but i dont see how she has been as impressive as just about any colt. shes won once going two turns, against amen hallelujah, who looked like she has some distance concerns after the bonnie miss. amen hallelujah is a nice filly, but a mile seems like her ceiling.

shes a very nice filly and i dont think shes going to be last at all. she will probably be among the top ten finishers. but her performances on track thus far have not been that impressive to consider her a legit threat.

i think you could say that about any probable starter at this point.

[Gaining Ground]

Originally Posted by Danzig

i think you could say that about any probable starter at this point.

thats not true. just because the favorite is out doesnt mean anyone can win now.

i like devil may care a lot. and she can beat males. but shes run twice this year and did no running at all the first time. so she will be coming into the derby running one real race this year, against a horse with distance challenges, with 6 weeks in between starts.

not the kind of bet i want to make at what will sure be underlaid odds compared to her actual chance of winning.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by Gaining Ground

thats not true. just because the favorite is out doesnt mean anyone can win now.

i like devil may care a lot. and she can beat males. but shes run twice this year and did no running at all the first time. so she will be coming into the derby running one real race this year, against a horse with distance challenges, with 6 weeks in between starts.

not the kind of bet i want to make at what will sure be underlaid odds compared to her actual chance of winning.

Don't forget that she ran as fast as Icebox did in the Fla. Derby.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

Don't forget that she ran as fast as Icebox did in the Fla. Derby.

that's true as well.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Gaining Ground

thats not true. just because the favorite is out doesnt mean anyone can win now.

i like devil may care a lot. and she can beat males. but shes run twice this year and did no running at all the first time. so she will be coming into the derby running one real race this year, against a horse with distance challenges, with 6 weeks in between starts.

not the kind of bet i want to make at what will sure be underlaid odds compared to her actual chance of winning.

i don't feel comfortable at this point saying any horse has a better chance than any other. and i do feel at this point that just about any horse can win. and when i say i don't include stately victor as one of those, i think back to last year. as for lack of racing, ice box is one i like-and he hasn't run in the same span as devil may care.