3/36-28 (CD): Derby Future Pool 3

[cakes44]

I don't see any as appealing whatsoever from a betting perspective in this group. However, I'm also banking on the Mine That Bird effect with so many people trying to hit a longshot because a 50-1 winning last year will be fresh in their minds. The MTB story will be the one that people who rarely bet all year will be hearing in the days leading up to the Derby anyways, which will help the odds on the horses who have a better shot.

[pweizer]

Did I miss the race that Homeboykris ran that merits his inclusion here when he was not in pool one or two? I am baffled by that one.

Paul

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by pweizer

Did I miss the race that Homeboykris ran that merits his inclusion here when he was not in pool one or two? I am baffled by that one.

Paul

I agree...I guess they think people would love to bet a future on a horse who's only race in 2010 was a 2nd place finish in an Allowance race.

I can't find any horse on here whose odds may be significantly lower on Derby day (if they make it) other than the 2 favorites, and that's pointless to bet anyway.

[Dunbar]

The average odds for "All Others" in Pool 3 since 2000 is 14.4-1. The lowest it's ever closed was 6.7-1 in 2004. Right now it's 3-1.

Granted, they are holding Pool 3 a week earlier than usual, and normally we'd have the result of the Wood to go on. But that's still a pretty large deviation from the average. It'll probably climb some before the close tomorrow.

--Dunbar

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by pweizer

Did I miss the race that Homeboykris ran that merits his inclusion here when he was not in pool one or two? I am baffled by that one.

Paul

I agreed with you at first impression ... but actually, I don't blame them for including him.

But you know he's at least scheduled to make his next start in the Ky Derby .. and the crop is so laughably bad outside of maybe 7 or 8 horses.

About the only thing Mine That Bird had going for him last year was that he earned enough Graded Earnings to get into the thing when he won some abysmal 2yo stake in Canada. They wanted to take him back and use the Kentucky Derby as a prep for the Belmont.... an idea so crazy that it truly deserved a blanket of roses.