3/36-28 (CD): Derby Future Pool 3

cakes44 · #1 03-24-2010, 03:21 PM

Predictions on how many of the 23 don't make it to the starting gate for the Derby? Looks like a bunch to me.

justindew · #2 03-24-2010, 03:50 PM

At the risk of eating my words down the road...

...can't they come up with a better option than Aikenite?

Thunder Gulch · #3 03-26-2010, 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew

At the risk of eating my words down the road...

...can't they come up with a better option than Aikenite?

I think I said the same thing when Mine That Bird was actually entered last year.

ninetoone · #4 03-26-2010, 10:09 AM

Awesome Act @ 15-1 seems OK...

cakes44 · #5 03-26-2010, 10:22 AM

I don't see any as appealing whatsoever from a betting perspective in this group. However, I'm also banking on the Mine That Bird effect with so many people trying to hit a longshot because a 50-1 winning last year will be fresh in their minds. The MTB story will be the one that people who rarely bet all year will be hearing in the days leading up to the Derby anyways, which will help the odds on the horses who have a better shot.

pweizer · #6 03-26-2010, 10:39 AM

Did I miss the race that Homeboykris ran that merits his inclusion here when he was not in pool one or two? I am baffled by that one.

Paul

lemoncrush · #7 03-26-2010, 11:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pweizer

Did I miss the race that Homeboykris ran that merits his inclusion here when he was not in pool one or two? I am baffled by that one.

Paul

I agree...I guess they think people would love to bet a future on a horse who's only race in 2010 was a 2nd place finish in an Allowance race.

I can't find any horse on here whose odds may be significantly lower on Derby day (if they make it) other than the 2 favorites, and that's pointless to bet anyway.

The Indomitable DrugS · #8 03-27-2010, 07:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pweizer

Did I miss the race that Homeboykris ran that merits his inclusion here when he was not in pool one or two? I am baffled by that one.

Paul

I agreed with you at first impression ... but actually, I don't blame them for including him.

But you know he's at least scheduled to make his next start in the Ky Derby .. and the crop is so laughably bad outside of maybe 7 or 8 horses.

About the only thing Mine That Bird had going for him last year was that he earned enough Graded Earnings to get into the thing when he won some abysmal 2yo stake in Canada. They wanted to take him back and use the Kentucky Derby as a prep for the Belmont.... an idea so crazy that it truly deserved a blanket of roses.

RockHardTen1985 · #9 03-27-2010, 07:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ninetoone

Awesome Act @ 15-1 seems OK...

I like him a lot, but would never touch him at 15-1. Think about it... I doubt he can beat Eskendereya next week, even if he runs a good second, what could his odds possibly be Derby Day? I would expect Dublin, Lookin at Lucky, Ice Box and Eskendereya to all be lower then him.... Im just assuming you can get 15-1 or 20-1 on derby day... Now if you think he's going to win next weekend you should crush the 15-1, because if he wins next weekend I think hes 6-1 or less in the Derby.