Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-13-2010, 01:03 AM
stonegossard stonegossard is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,115
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Woman are the f'n rake man

Wayne Catalano and the Calabrese racing team has extended an hand out to Michael for the Arlington Park meet.

This is so great. At least I know I will only be haunted for the first couple weeks until he gets benched and ET Baird is called back in.
Michael Baze is gonna win a ton of races out there.What's he up against? Tim Thorton....Razo....Wade...Riggs........Uriel Lopez ? With Catalano backing him he will crush that laughable colony.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-13-2010, 01:25 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Why do some trainers whine as much as they do about "getting spun" ?

The jockey is one of the most meaningless factors in all of racing ... is it such a great loss that a rider - or his agent - who would rather ride another horse in the race is not on your horse?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-13-2010, 01:29 AM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Principle.

Add to the fact an effeminate ogre is the one doing it.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-13-2010, 10:22 AM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

The jockey is one of the most meaningless factors in all of racing
How do you watch as many races as you do and still find the NUTS to (repeatedly) post this stuff? Especially since your 'home track' is PID.

Statistics are MEANINGFUL.
Speed Figures are MEANINGFUL

A premature move is MEANINGLESS.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-13-2010, 10:45 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

PID is my 'home track' only in so much as it's 2 miles away and all my selections go in the newspaper.

For two straight years my top selection has yielded a flat bet profit at the end of each meet.

But hey, that's just 1,600 races... Joel Rosario, who you knock bigtime as a jockey, has yielded a flat bet profit for a riding career of over 4k races.

Don't get me wrong .. I'll downgrade the chances of a horse if I think the new rider is hopelessly incompetent... or if the rider switch is one I deem negative.

Just because I quote a lot of riders stats doesn't mean it's much of a factor in my handicapping. A lot of times - the reputation of the rider gets baked into the odds. Yeah, Dominguez is great ... but if you get him you're going to see a bit of a hit in price. Yeah, Jackie Davis stinks ... but hey, you're going to get the best of it price wise with someone like that. If the horse runs well enough .. it won't matter.

Sometimes everything unfolds right and bad riders land perfect trips. Sometimes things go wrong and good riders find bad trips.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-13-2010, 11:30 AM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
PID is my 'home track' only in so much as it's 2 miles away and all my selections go in the newspaper.

For two straight years my top selection has yielded a flat bet profit at the end of each meet.

But hey, that's just 1,600 races... Joel Rosario, who you knock bigtime as a jockey, has yielded a flat bet profit for a riding career of over 4k races.
Your top picks are typically CHALK, from what I've seen you write on the topic. Moreover, I just completed a year's worth of plays, close to 2,000 plays, with a POSITIVE ROI. (And my only 'tool' is that simpleton Fat Chart-- imagine if the charts were actually accurate?)
It's NOT statistics or any other of the common tools. So, let's get that out of the way and not feel the need to mention it again.

I could care less what Rosario's flat bet results are. I have an idea what he can and can't do from watching him. He's NOT a top jock. If I depended on results, then I'd be keying on Jacquie Davis, who certainly has a HIGHER return over the past 200 races than Rosario. These stats are USELESS to me.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-13-2010, 11:36 AM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Your top picks are typically CHALK, from what I've seen you write on the topic. Moreover, I just completed a year's worth of plays, close to 2,000 plays, with a POSITIVE ROI. (And my only 'tool' is that simpleton Fat Chart-- imagine if the charts were actually accurate?)
It's NOT statistics or any other of the common tools. So, let's get that out of the way and not feel the need to mention it again.

I could care less what Rosario's flat bet results are. I have an idea what he can and can't do from watching him. He's NOT a top jock. If I depended on results, then I'd be keying on Jacquie Davis, who certainly has a HIGHER return over the past 200 races than Rosario. These stats are USELESS to me.
This is not true.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-13-2010, 11:44 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
This is not true.
It is true Phil. I've had top pick winners pay as high as 35/1 and more than a few pay higher than 15/1 .. which is a big reason for the profitable stats.

But the vast majority of the time - I'm picking short prices on top.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-13-2010, 12:13 PM
stonegossard stonegossard is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,115
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Your top picks are typically CHALK, from what I've seen you write on the topic. Moreover, I just completed a year's worth of plays, close to 2,000 plays, with a POSITIVE ROI. (And my only 'tool' is that simpleton Fat Chart-- imagine if the charts were actually accurate?)
It's NOT statistics or any other of the common tools. So, let's get that out of the way and not feel the need to mention it again.

I could care less what Rosario's flat bet results are. I have an idea what he can and can't do from watching him. He's NOT a top jock. If I depended on results, then I'd be keying on Jacquie Davis, who certainly has a HIGHER return over the past 200 races than Rosario. These stats are USELESS to me.
Yeah. You win at the track. Your picks on your little twitter page are hilarious. That is when you post them. And you are one to talk about chalk. When your dartboard is correct and you do hit something it's some ridiculously chalky exacta that you brag about. Leaving your charming personality out of the equation you are truly one of the worst cappers to grace the internet.

But you sure act like a guy who wins at the track
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-13-2010, 12:32 PM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Like when you make fun of farmers with..

"Look at me daddy I'm a farmer!"

You're being mean.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=52mZs9ngNug
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 03-13-2010, 01:29 AM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by stonegossard
Michael Baze is gonna win a ton of races out there.What's he up against? Tim Thorton....Razo....Wade...Riggs........Uriel Lopez ? With Catalano backing him he will crush that laughable colony.
Here is the thing though, the hatred between Calabrese and Catalano is still there, he isn't going to be riding for both of them, one because they are in alot of races together and two, Calabrese won't ride someone that he is riding usually.

There is no doubt he is gonna be getting on some Cadilliac's. Hell, Catalano was getting Brandon Meier to win races for christ sake, he is usually done riding by the 1/4 pole because he hasn't eaten in three days.

There is also no doubt that this colony is less to be desired. I think Wade is hurt again by the way.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 03-13-2010, 09:11 AM
-BT- -BT- is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: 60613
Posts: 2,622
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Here is the thing though, the hatred between Calabrese and Catalano is still there, he isn't going to be riding for both of them, one because they are in alot of races together and two, Calabrese won't ride someone that he is riding usually.

There is no doubt he is gonna be getting on some Cadilliac's. Hell, Catalano was getting Brandon Meier to win races for christ sake, he is usually done riding by the 1/4 pole because he hasn't eaten in three days.

There is also no doubt that this colony is less to be desired. I think Wade is hurt again by the way.

threw earlie fires some huge bones at the end of his carreer as well. IMO Baze will be a middle of the road jock, by no means do i see him dominating ANY meet

-bt-
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 03-13-2010, 10:50 AM
stonegossard stonegossard is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,115
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Here is the thing though, the hatred between Calabrese and Catalano is still there, he isn't going to be riding for both of them, one because they are in alot of races together and two, Calabrese won't ride someone that he is riding usually.

There is no doubt he is gonna be getting on some Cadilliac's. Hell, Catalano was getting Brandon Meier to win races for christ sake, he is usually done riding by the 1/4 pole because he hasn't eaten in three days.

There is also no doubt that this colony is less to be desired. I think Wade is hurt again by the way.
I just think that when given half decent mounts, Baze is one of the better jocks out at SA. The guy did win a few meets out there yrs ago. Now he is goin to a colony that is very weak.

For Baze's sake hopefully Catalano chooses him...will be better off. I would guess some of the better horsemen will be off to NJ this summer making Catalano that much stronger out there. If a guy like Brandon M. can win races out there....anyone with 2 arms, 2 legs, and a head can win.

I didn't realize that Calabrese and Catalano STILL hate eachother. Figured they would have moved past it. Frank Calabrese is a strange guy. Heard some strange stories about that dude when I lived out there.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 03-13-2010, 12:03 PM
my miss storm cat's Avatar
my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 22,025
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by stonegossard
I just think that when given half decent mounts, Baze is one of the better jocks out at SA. The guy did win a few meets out there yrs ago. Now he is goin to a colony that is very weak.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 03-13-2010, 12:38 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by stonegossard
I just think that when given half decent mounts, Baze is one of the better jocks out at SA. The guy did win a few meets out there yrs ago. Now he is goin to a colony that is very weak.

For Baze's sake hopefully Catalano chooses him...will be better off. I would guess some of the better horsemen will be off to NJ this summer making Catalano that much stronger out there. If a guy like Brandon M. can win races out there....anyone with 2 arms, 2 legs, and a head can win.

I didn't realize that Calabrese and Catalano STILL hate eachother. Figured they would have moved past it. Frank Calabrese is a strange guy. Heard some strange stories about that dude when I lived out there.
When he won those meets, didn't he have his bug?
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 03-13-2010, 03:23 PM
stonegossard stonegossard is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,115
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
When he won those meets, didn't he have his bug?
I don't believe so. He had been riding in NJ for a while before he went out there.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 03-13-2010, 03:31 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by stonegossard
I don't believe so. He had been riding in NJ for a while before he went out there.
I don't think so either, I just looked and he was Eclipse winner in 2003 for top apprentice, he won Hollywood meet and Del Mar meet in 2007 according to NTRA

http://www.breederscup.com/bio.aspx?id=25223.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:05 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.