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  #1  
Old 03-08-2010, 08:56 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
I think speed figures are one small piece of the puzzle, no more, no less. What percentage of races are won by the horse who has run the highest speed figure? I bet it's a relatively small percent. It's probably around 30% or less.

Don't get me wrong. Even though I think speed figures are only one piece of the puzzle, I still believe that if a person had access to accurate speed figures and this person was one of the only people using speed figures, this person would have a big edge. But in this day and age, everyone has access to speed figures. Horses with the highest speed figures are usually over-bet. In a game with 16% vig, I think it's pretty tough to get an edge focusing on the same info as everyone else.
How about trying this one:
You guys are right the horse either sucks because he is hurt or sucks because he is slow eitherway the people that bought him have a sack of crap. It goes to show you how tough the biz can be. The horse looked great brought great money for his type and became a frog for one reason or another..
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  #2  
Old 03-08-2010, 03:14 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
How about trying this one:
You guys are right the horse either sucks because he is hurt or sucks because he is slow eitherway the people that bought him have a sack of crap. It goes to show you how tough the biz can be. The horse looked great brought great money for his type and became a frog for one reason or another..
I agree with you that the horse sucks right now. I also agree with you about how tough the business can be. Horses are so fragile. Even if you have a great horse, all it takes is one mis-step for a $1 million horse to become worthless overnight.
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