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  #1  
Old 03-05-2010, 09:44 AM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Both of you have yet to hit on the horse I plan to make my coup.
Thanks!
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  #2  
Old 03-05-2010, 02:06 PM
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TheGreek has odds up on all the individual Derby entries in Pool 2. Unlike the Derby Future Wager, these are static (you get whatever the odds are when you bet)

Horse, Odds-to-1
Aikenite 65.5
American Lion 35.5
Buddys Saint 16.15
Caracortado 20.5
Connemara 25.5
Conveyance 16.15
D'Funnybone 30.5
Dave in Dixie 22.5
Discreetly Mine 25.5
Dublin 20.5
Eskendereya 9.25
Jackson Bend 25.5
Lookin at Lucky 14.15
Nextdoorneighbor 40.5
Nobles Promise 30.5
Odysseus 35.5
Radiohead (GB) 30.5
Rule 25.5
Setsuko 52.5
Sidneys Candy 20.5
Super Saver 16.15
Tempted to Tapit 52.5
Vale of York (Ire) 30.5

TheGreek is not offering the "All Others" bet. If you think fair odds for "All Others" should be 4-1, then TheGreek's odds constitute an 11.5% takeout. Different "All Others" assumptions lead to different vig conclusions. If you think 6-1 is fair for "All Others", then the vig on TheGreek's odds is 7%.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #3  
Old 03-05-2010, 03:04 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
TheGreek has odds up on all the individual Derby entries in Pool 2. Unlike the Derby Future Wager, these are static (you get whatever the odds are when you bet)

Horse, Odds-to-1
Aikenite 65.5
American Lion 35.5
Buddys Saint 16.15
Caracortado 20.5
Connemara 25.5
Conveyance 16.15
D'Funnybone 30.5
Dave in Dixie 22.5
Discreetly Mine 25.5
Dublin 20.5
Eskendereya 9.25
Jackson Bend 25.5
Lookin at Lucky 14.15
Nextdoorneighbor 40.5
Nobles Promise 30.5
Odysseus 35.5
Radiohead (GB) 30.5
Rule 25.5
Setsuko 52.5
Sidneys Candy 20.5
Super Saver 16.15
Tempted to Tapit 52.5
Vale of York (Ire) 30.5

TheGreek is not offering the "All Others" bet. If you think fair odds for "All Others" should be 4-1, then TheGreek's odds constitute an 11.5% takeout. Different "All Others" assumptions lead to different vig conclusions. If you think 6-1 is fair for "All Others", then the vig on TheGreek's odds is 7%.
Several of those odds can be beaten at World Sports Exchange (wsex.com):
Caracortado 25-1
Conveyance 30-1
D'Funnybone 40-1
Dave In Dixie 30-1
Super Saver 30-1

World Sports Exch is no longer "A" rated at SportsbookReview, however. (Some slow-pay problems.)

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #4  
Old 03-05-2010, 03:18 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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I wouldn't take 400-1 on D'Funnybone
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  #5  
Old 03-05-2010, 03:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
I wouldn't take 400-1 on D'Funnybone
Sure you would. Or should. If you take 400-1, you can give me 200-1, which I'd gladly take. Then you can guarantee yourself a profit either way.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #6  
Old 03-05-2010, 02:59 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
Both of you have yet to hit on the horse I plan to make my coup.
Thanks!
Biofuel or Beautician?
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  #7  
Old 03-05-2010, 04:34 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Biofuel or Beautician?
No...those where my two key horses in the BC Juvy Fillies.

I like Devil May Care for the Oaks.
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  #8  
Old 03-05-2010, 05:45 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
No...those where my two key horses in the BC Juvy Fillies.

I like Devil May Care for the Oaks.

Shes ok, her trip at Fairgrounds was horrendous but she did no running.
STREAKER IS THE GOODS.
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  #9  
Old 03-05-2010, 07:50 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Shes ok, her trip at Fairgrounds was horrendous but she did no running.
STREAKER IS THE GOODS.
Good Luck. She is OK...but no way she wins the Oaks 7 weeks from now.

Just think if they ever breed her dam to a decent stallion.
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  #10  
Old 03-05-2010, 08:05 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
Good Luck. She is OK...but no way she wins the Oaks 7 weeks from now.

Just think if they ever breed her dam to a decent stallion.
I like your horse, but if they faced off tomorrow, going 9f at Gulf I would bet Streaker.
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  #11  
Old 03-05-2010, 08:15 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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The Coach is going to make a spectacular upset in the Oaks or Derby!
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  #12  
Old 03-05-2010, 06:10 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
No...those where my two key horses in the BC Juvy Fillies.

I like Devil May Care for the Oaks.
I'm throwing a few dollars her way because the FG race was too bad to believe. She ran her race before they even reached the gate.

NT
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  #13  
Old 03-05-2010, 07:01 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
I'm throwing a few dollars her way because the FG race was too bad to believe. She ran her race before they even reached the gate.

NT

WHat about my horse?
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