At what odds would you have bet "All Others" in the Derby Future Wager?

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by Danzig

but how many of them were 'all others'? you'd be better off betting a horse derby day than in having an all others ticket on them right now.

I don't get this thinking, either, Danzig. Yeah, if you can pick the one out of 375 "All Others" horses that's going to win, you're better off waiting until Derby Day. But maybe you liked some other "All Others" horse last year besides Mine That Bird. Were you better off waiting for Derby Day to bet the horse you liked?

Betting "All Others" in Pool 1 can't reasonably be compared to waiting until Derby Day to bet a single "All Others" horse. In the pool you have 300+ horses that can win the bet for you. If you liked an "All Others" horse last year, chances are excellent that it wasn't Mine That Bird. But your "All Others" Pool 1 bet would have paid off anyway.

--Dunbar