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  #1  
Old 02-15-2010, 07:42 PM
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Haha! March 6. Same day as the Derby - Katie Lee's great, but I don't think she can win both!
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Old 02-15-2010, 07:51 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by _ed_
Haha! March 6. Same day as the Derby - Katie Lee's great, but I don't think she can win both!
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Old 02-16-2010, 05:50 AM
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Our first Derby contender...

MONACO CONSUL

3 c High Chaparral - Argante
8 starts - 3 wins, 1 second
Trainers: Mike & Paul Moroney
Major wins: G1 VRC Derby, G1 Spring Champion Stakes
Odds: 4-1

Replays:
Best: VRC Derby (1st): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dw-VQPJW8hM
Last Start: International Stakes (7th): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zpbZptRFPKU

+ Amazing in October/November
+ Distance will be no problem
+ Trainers have won the Derby twice in the last 10 years (Cut The Cake & Xcellent)

- 10th and 7th in last two starts. But some have said that 7th in the International wasn't as bad as it sounds - watch the replay and see what you think!
- Stable's not in great form at the moment

Verdict: If he shows up on Derby day in the form he was in four months ago, he's a huge winning chance. But he's looked like a different horse in his last two races, and time is running out for the stable to turn things around and get him back to his best. If they can do that, he's a serious contender. But I'd have him at about 12-1 at the moment.

Last edited by _ed_ : 02-16-2010 at 06:52 PM.
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Old 02-16-2010, 05:50 PM
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Oh cool ed... I was hoping you'd be doing this again this year.
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  #5  
Old 02-16-2010, 06:58 PM
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Miss Lee...

KATIE LEE

3 f Pins - Miss Jessie Jay
15 starts - 7 wins, 5 seconds, 2 thirds
Trainers: Graeme & Debbie Rogerson
Major wins: G1 New Zealand 2000 Guineas, G1 New Zealand 1000 Guineas, G2 Eight Carat Classic, G2 Sir Tristram Fillies Classic, G3 Eclipse Stakes
Odds: 9-1

Replays:
Best: New Zealand 2000 Guineas (1st): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W8Hyvcnk1EI
Last start: Sir Tristram Fillies Classic (1st): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xw8Pob1BIHg

+ Simply awesome
+ Best horse in NZ
+ Amazing competitiveness and will to win - when she sees another horse gaining on her, her tail swishes and she tries even harder.

- Distance: pedigree suggests she might not handle it.

Verdict: The best horse in the race. The only question is the distance, and a lack of stamina in her pedigree might be what stops her from winning. But her ability will take her a long way, and you won't see her give up in the last few strides. The crowd will go crazy if she can do it. I think her 9-1 odds are about right.

Last edited by _ed_ : 02-16-2010 at 07:56 PM.
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  #6  
Old 02-17-2010, 07:27 PM
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JOEY MASSINO

3 c O'Reilly - Rationable
14 starts - 5 wins, 3 seconds
Trainer: Peter McKay
Major wins: G2 Avondale Guineas, G3 Wellington Stakes
Odds: 20-1

Replays:
Best, last start: Karaka Mile (1st): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0EQ_bdR-meI

+ Tough front-runner who hates letting horses pass him in the stretch
+ Four-time stakes winner.

- Failed in his only start beyond a mile, so big questions about the distance.

Verdict: One of the bravest and most determined little horses in NZ at the moment. He obviously hates losing, and will give everything he's got on Derby day. The big problem is the 2400m. But I think 20-1 is too high. I'd have him at 11-1 or 12-1.
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  #7  
Old 02-18-2010, 06:33 PM
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Will she or won't she?

http://tvnz.co.nz/othersports-news/k...status-3371675
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