1/31 (SA): Santa Monica H. (G1)

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by moses

I like Cherryblossommiss but don't like Quinonez taking the mount here.

I'll (probably moronically) throw Smith out on Free Flying Soul. I like Proviso, Tuscan Evening, Sweet August Moon, and Gilded Gem.

There was talk of Tuscan Evening scratching.

[cannonman]

Tuscan Evening is out.

Difficult to envision a scenario where either Diamondrella or Proviso do not win!

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by cannonman

Tuscan Evening is out.

Difficult to envision a scenario where either Diamondrella or Proviso do not win!

Is this for real? Have you watched the post-Penna Diamondrella? Even if you don't take that into account, her one race on synthetics was terrible.

[cannonman]

Try to take everything into account.

The synthetic start in Erie was off a 100 day layoff. Daughter of the "rock" has had two efforts since the change in trainers. The first was in the Matriarch where the race flipped and she had ZERO chance yet ran huge.

In the nine panel effort earlier this month she was oddly favored in a heat too far for her. Her works for this have been much, much better. As the only multiple grade one winner she draws the fence, gets gomez, sheds weight and drops back to a trip she should relish.

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by cannonman

Try to take everything into account.

The synthetic start in Erie was off a 100 day layoff. Daughter of the "rock" has had two efforts since the change in trainers. The first was in the Matriarch where the race flipped and she had ZERO chance yet ran huge.

In the nine panel effort earlier this month she was oddly favored in a heat too far for her. Her works for this have been much, much better. As the only multiple grade one winner she draws the fence, gets gomez, sheds weight and drops back to a trip she should relish.

Well, I'm not betting the race so good luck. You should actually get a decent price on her.

[NTamm1215]

I will be very surprised if Diamondrella wins this race. She was dreadful in the Presque Isle Masters and I can't see how the cutback will lead to some huge wake-up call.

I think Proviso will be tough but could see Evita Argentina jumping up should the field come back to her even slightly.

NT

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I will be very surprised if Diamondrella wins this race. She was dreadful in the Presque Isle Masters and I can't see how the cutback will lead to some huge wake-up call.

I think Proviso will be tough but could see Evita Argentina jumping up should the field come back to her even slightly.

NT

I don't like Diamondrella, but off the running line (2.5 lengths off a :45 half), its possible she was a little too close to a relatively quick pace in that one synthetic start. She might be better on it than that race suggests.