Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Dee Tee Stables
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-22-2010, 09:30 AM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Good Luck to everyone today, cannot make it, but will be at Big A tomorrow! Let's get our girl home! (hoping the drop on the 7 looks suspicious for a reason).
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-22-2010, 09:55 AM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: MIAMI
Posts: 1,978
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Good Luck to everyone today, cannot make it, but will be at Big A tomorrow! Let's get our girl home! (hoping the drop on the 7 looks suspicious for a reason).
seems like more and more trainers willing to drop em like a rock due to the hike in purses even for a 5k race
__________________
" I may leave here empty handed, but you aren't going anywhere "
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-22-2010, 10:01 AM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
seems like more and more trainers willing to drop em like a rock due to the hike in purses even for a 5k race
True, but dropping a horse off of two wins at higher tags off a two month layoff with one slow work says one of two things, they are going to try to steal a purse or they want to get rid of the horse because something happened last time out, these are the type I like to bet against. It is hard to believe that this one will not get claimed if she looks right in the paddock.

Last edited by pointman : 01-22-2010 at 10:13 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-22-2010, 10:05 AM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: MIAMI
Posts: 1,978
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
True, but dropping a horse off of two wins at higher tags off a two month layoff with one slow work says one of two things, they are going to try to steal a purse or they want to get rid of the horse because something happened last time out, these are the type I like to bet against. It is hard to believe that this one will not get claimed if he looks right in the paddock.
I bet against them every time , and you will always come out ahead in the long run staying away from these type drop downs. 99% there is a hole in this one somewhere thats just about to break, It is usually a case of when, during or after the race
__________________
" I may leave here empty handed, but you aren't going anywhere "
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-22-2010, 11:30 AM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
I bet against them every time , and you will always come out ahead in the long run staying away from these type drop downs. 99% there is a hole in this one somewhere thats just about to break, It is usually a case of when, during or after the race
Here is the one thing about this horse. She is out of conditions and is a PA bred. This is probably the correct spot for her considering she gets to run for $32,200. That is allowance money against 5 claimers. 5 claimers is probably a little aggressive but when your running for 32,200, you really aren't that concerned about the 5k. Hell, she wins and gets claimed, they get 24k.

If that were to happen at Arlington, you would get 11k. OUCH!

Good luck today, she should run good 2nd start over the surface
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-22-2010, 11:47 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Here is the one thing about this horse. She is out of conditions and is a PA bred. This is probably the correct spot for her considering she gets to run for $32,200. That is allowance money against 5 claimers. 5 claimers is probably a little aggressive but when your running for 32,200, you really aren't that concerned about the 5k. Hell, she wins and gets claimed, they get 24k.

If that were to happen at Arlington, you would get 11k. OUCH!

Good luck today, she should run good 2nd start over the surface
Great stuff and explanation.

With the 24k you can buy 4 more then when they all win their next start you made 76k.. This sounds like a plan.lol

The 14opt claimer at Penn Nat goes for 40k with 16k added for a Pa Bred.. 56k for a 14kclaimer IF you can find a Pa Bred to run a 80 Bsf..Unfortunately it isnt so easy..

GOOD LUCK TODAY KNS!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-22-2010, 12:14 PM
scanman's Avatar
scanman scanman is offline
Delaware Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Orlando, Florida
Posts: 191
Default

Best of luck today.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 01-22-2010, 01:38 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
I bet against them every time , and you will always come out ahead in the long run staying away from these type drop downs. 99% there is a hole in this one somewhere thats just about to break, It is usually a case of when, during or after the race
You were VERY right about this horse. Never got into it and was pulled up I think.

That rail is so deep at Philly..
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 01-22-2010, 01:42 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Good try for KNS 4th is a ok check..The winner freaked
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 01-22-2010, 01:44 PM
pweizer's Avatar
pweizer pweizer is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Leominster, MA
Posts: 1,599
Default

A great trip with no real excuse. Must just not like dirt.

Paul
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 01-22-2010, 01:44 PM
Many Others Many Others is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Midwest
Posts: 429
Default

jmho and honest dont mean to anthropomorphize (sp? lol) but don't think she likes the Philly surface one little bit and is counting the days on her sharp little hoofs until Arlington opens - still ours????
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 01-22-2010, 01:51 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Many Others
jmho and honest dont mean to anthropomorphize (sp? lol) but don't think she likes the Philly surface one little bit and is counting the days on her sharp little hoofs until Arlington opens - still ours????
the 40% added money is hard to pass on especially in Pa were the money is unreal.. There is Penn Nat also and that kind maybe just what she needs.. 18k plus 40% doesnt suck for a 7 year old decent race mare..
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 01-22-2010, 10:02 AM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: MIAMI
Posts: 1,978
Default

wow, 23k for $5000 claimers!! fantastic, good luck DT
__________________
" I may leave here empty handed, but you aren't going anywhere "
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:48 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.