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Old 01-19-2010, 05:15 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
And I think this is the kind of indefensible wishful thinking that causes people to lose their money. You have a horse that had an otherwise perfect trip, but had three lengths of trouble at most, somehow turning a 1 3/4 length win into a nine to ten length romp. It's typical racetrack over-exaggeration if you ask me.

He was 30 cents to the dollar yesterday. What would have been the appropriate amount of lengths he should have won by with an absolute perfect trip, as you are suggesting, given his competition?
I'm not sure I understand your question. How many lengths would he have won by with a perfect trip if he's an average horse or if he's a really good horse? How many lengths did the general public think he'd win by? As you said, they made him 1-3 so they obviously thought he was a stand-out that would win easily. I guess they probably thought he would win by 5-6 lengths.
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