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  #1  
Old 09-23-2006, 01:44 PM
Slewbopper Slewbopper is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Seattleallstar
i played a 4 dollar pk 4, had a big exacta bet, and a huge win wager
Why would anyone that knows anything about betting horses put a "huge" win bet on a 1/2 shot? I learned my lesson a long time ago. It was the '78 Champagne and I put $100 to win on General Assemble at about 1/5 (don't remember the exact odds). Anyhow, this gray horse who went on to win the Derby and Preakness the next year went off at 5/2 and won easily
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  #2  
Old 09-23-2006, 02:01 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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good question slewbopper. i'd rather bet a few bucks on a live shot than put a big bet on a 'sure thing' and go back and get 2.10 for every 2. or foam at the mouth at wasted money when they lose...
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  #3  
Old 09-23-2006, 02:15 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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I am surprised the winner wasn't played a little more. First time starter from Levine who was a half to Dubai/Madcap Escapade......
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  #4  
Old 09-23-2006, 02:28 PM
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  #5  
Old 09-23-2006, 02:41 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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if something like that had a hold of me, i'd be crying too.
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  #6  
Old 09-25-2006, 09:05 AM
oracle80
 
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Seattle,
I'm not even going to comment on the stupidity of playing 1-5 shots to WIN.
But I was on my way down to Belmont and was on the phone with Randall Scott on Saturday. I explicity told him that I thought he might be a seconditis type horse and was going to make two bets on the race. A larger one with Jagerman on top of Most Distinguished. And a saver bet with the winner on top of Most Distinguished.
I wish I had liked the winner more than Jagerman, who broke slowly and rushed up a dead rail to make the lead, but i didn't.
After the race was over noone I was near was asking your question of how could he lose. Just about everyone was unanimous that we may have another "My Friend Bernie" on our hands. You could see the horse ease himself up after making the lead and wait on horses. Blaming Zito or Edgar is quite foolish. Nick obviously had the horse ready for a nice effort, and Edgar gave a perfect ride. The thing you will apparently never understand is that they are animals with personalities. They are not machines. This horse is obviously a "hanger" or "cheater" type who wants to run in company with other horses.
Now that Nick and Edgar realize this without a shadow of a doubt, I imagine different tactics or equipment will be used in the future.
Betting 1-5 shots to win is insane. You could have bet place or show and gotten near the same payoff, which is still insane, but slightly less so than betting a 1-5 shot to win.
If you have an idea or ideas in other parts of a "pik" bet, then singling one can be justified. But did you actually blow a paycheck on a win bet?
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  #7  
Old 09-25-2006, 09:45 AM
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Seattleallstar Seattleallstar is offline
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why doesnt these short priced bastards win when i bet them or single them, like that god damn biancone/leparoux horse at saratoga. Deep closer on grass, then they let the leader get away with some god damn crawling fractions on the front, cost me pk6
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  #8  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:06 AM
oracle80
 
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Seattle the better question might be as to how long you are going to keep up the insanity.
The definition of insanity is to repeat the same action over and over again expecting a different result. Since I've known you, you have repeatedly stuck to the "strategy" of making large bets keying odds on horses.
Heres a newsflash, if the game was that simple then noone would work. They would just bet big favorites every day and live a life of leisure.
Repeat after me, bet a little to try and win a lot. Not bet a lot to try and win a little.
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  #9  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:11 AM
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Seattleallstar Seattleallstar is offline
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its your fault, you havent been online to talk and i lost your phone number.
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  #10  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:34 AM
oracle80
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Seattleallstar
its your fault, you havent been online to talk and i lost your phone number.
I keep my messenger on invisible all the time. Message me and I will answer you.
And you don't listen anyway.
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  #11  
Old 09-23-2006, 02:51 PM
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Pedigree Ann Pedigree Ann is offline
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What? Real Estate got to the races and I missed it? I had this one marked out last weekend for the Pick 6 contest and it scratches. Forgot to put it on my stable watch so I miss another chance. How did this one pay $15?
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  #12  
Old 09-23-2006, 04:05 PM
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2MinsToPost 2MinsToPost is offline
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pillow made me laugh like no other
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  #13  
Old 09-24-2006, 07:49 AM
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Seattleallstar Seattleallstar is offline
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instead of playing horses today after church im gonna play in a poker tournament. 250 dollar buy in, 1st place is guranteed 10k.
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  #14  
Old 09-24-2006, 11:28 AM
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somerfrost somerfrost is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Seattleallstar
instead of playing horses today after church im gonna play in a poker tournament. 250 dollar buy in, 1st place is guranteed 10k.

It must be awful to need attention this badly....
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  #15  
Old 09-24-2006, 11:25 AM
Bold Reasoning
 
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I really only like Prado on longshots. That is how I collected on those Sarava and Birdstone Belmonts.
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  #16  
Old 09-24-2006, 04:08 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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seattle i hear the the crys of a tough day at the races..step back for a wile and re group.....
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