12/12 Tampa Pick 4

[GPK]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I just wanted to discuss the race, I guess thats not possible.

It's possible. Can they both win? Sure, but IMO they will be vastly overbet. I have made enough money at Tampa in past years playing against horses like these two. They both show extremely fast works elsewhere and ZERO works at Tampa. I have seen too many fast horses flop at short prices on the Tampa sand. I will let them both beat me.

Truth be told, I am more interested in the early pick 4 than the late one.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by GPK

It's possible. Can they both win? Sure, but IMO they will be vastly overbet. I have made enough money at Tampa in past years playing against horses like these two. They both show extremely fast works elsewhere and ZERO works at Tampa. I have seen too many fast horses flop at short prices on the Tampa sand. I will let them both beat me.

Truth be told, I am more interested in the early pick 4 than the late one.

Ok then, Im going to scan the early one. Who are the alternatives to those 2then?

[RockHardTen1985]

Ryvit look like the one to me in the 5th. 6-1 ml is a great price for a single.
The 10 might be the only backup.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Ryvit look like the one to me in the 5th. 6-1 ml is a great price for a single.
The 10 might be the only backup.

How much you want to just leave Tampa alone for the whole meet?

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by Scav

How much you want to just leave Tampa alone for the whole meet?

Next year his focus will be on Arlington Park. I'm hoping he skips Gulfstream and stays with Tampa.

[NTamm1215]

I know only one thing about the 8th, there's a better chance of me riding the 11th race than V Sat going off 7/2.

I like Bennett's horse. A lot.

NT

[GPK]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I know only one thing about the 8th, there's a better chance of me riding the 11th race than V Sat going off 7/2.

I like Bennett's horse. A lot.

NT

That's who I'm on too Nick, and she may get overlooked with the other 2 sure to take action.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by GPK

That's who I'm on too Nick, and she may get overlooked with the other 2 sure to take action.

She'll have to run big to beat the males but V Sat is going to be overbet and Ward's horse could easily spit it after four furlongs. She's a half to Princess Janie, who was a nice horse.

After reviewing her page in the Kee catalog I'm certain I'll bet too much on her if she shows up on turf.

NT

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I know only one thing about the 8th, there's a better chance of me riding the 11th race than V Sat going off 7/2.

I like Bennett's horse. A lot.

NT

V Sat will get pounded, which is perfect.

The first thing I think when I see horses like this is, why Tampa? Why not wait two weeks and run at Gulfstream?

Well, a quick perusal of the Gulfstream condition book shows me he can run for 100k on Jan 9 or......run at Tampa. There is nothing for a N1X 3yr old sprinting in the first book.

[GPK]

Saturday, December 12, 2009

TRACK: Fast
TURF: Good
Portable Rail: at 0

Weather: Mostly Cloudy mid 70s



Scratches
12/12/2009
Race # Horse # Name
1 3 Poole of Cash (Stewards)
1 12 Gonna Blow
2 4 Mom Extraordinary
2 8 Capulet
3 6 Slievenamon
5 11 Black Belt
5 12 El Commodore
5 13 Sir Deputy
5 14 Cuz You All
7 1a Power Game
9 11 Life Lesson
9 12 Twiceasbeautiful
9 13 Easy Mark
9 13 Little B Rosson
11 2 Tequila's Desire

[GPK]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Ryvit look like the one to me in the 5th. 6-1 ml is a great price for a single.
The 10 might be the only backup.

Ok, I'm back. Had to make a late night OTB run so I could make some extra coin for tomorrow.

If you're gonna be awake and wanna talk about the sequence, I'm game.

[-BT-]

[quote]

Originally Posted by GPK

It's possible. Can they both win? Sure, but IMO they will be vastly overbet. I have made enough money at Tampa in past years playing against horses like these two. They both show extremely fast works elsewhere and ZERO works at Tampa. I have seen too many fast horses flop at short prices on the Tampa sand. I will let them both beat me.

Truth be told, I am more interested in the early pick 4 than the late one.[/QUOTE]

says the greatest 5-16K claimers handicapper that tampa has ever seen.

Late pk4 is very hittable. Petite Fuego is all over my radar, race looks like it sets up nice for her..... but, you aint gonna get a price on her as long as Dale Bennet's name is attached to that horse. She goes off at 4-1 and not a penny more and is 3rd choice, also might wanna take a look at #1 Place Value here, depending on the track bias... this speed could fold up like a lawn chair, or we could see gate to wire by ward.

I don't care what you say, the feautre is a crapshoot. ANYONE has a legit shot at these turf sprints (on a daily basis), i suggest going DEEP... at first glance 1461011 stand out for me, but wouldn't be shocked if anyone took this one. Hopefully this is just a visit from tony farina and not an extended stay.

if i had to single in the late PK4 it would be reluctantly w/ Dee's Rose in the 3rd leg, but Rocky Candy and Taylor Madison worry me

the finale, as always is a crap shoot

-bt-

[GPK]

[quote=-BT-]

says the greatest 5-16K claimers handicapper that tampa has ever seen.

Late pk4 is very hittable. Petite Fuego is all over my radar, race looks like it sets up nice for her..... but, you aint gonna get a price on her as long as Dale Bennet's name is attached to that horse. She goes off at 4-1 and not a penny more and is 3rd choice, also might wanna take a look at #1 Place Value here, depending on the track bias... this speed could fold up like a lawn chair, or we could see gate to wire by ward.

I don't care what you say, the feautre is a crapshoot. ANYONE has a legit shot at these turf sprints (on a daily basis), i suggest going DEEP... at first glance 1461011 stand out for me, but wouldn't be shocked if anyone took this one. Hopefully this is just a visit from tony farina and not an extended stay.

if i had to single in the late PK4 it would be reluctantly w/ Dee's Rose in the 3rd leg, but Rocky Candy and Taylor Madison worry methe finale, as always is a crap shoot

-bt-

I wouldn't single anyone in this race. A few of these certainly are using this as a prep for the Minaret in 3 weeks.