Early Breeders' Cup Projections...

Originally Posted by Pointg5

I agree about the 1 turn, but she did not run well going 1 turn at Belmont...I don't think she would have a shot to win, but 2nd, 3rd, or 4th would not be out of the question, considering her love for the CD surface...Like I said, doubt she would run in the Distaff, but your post about looking for odd horses to run 2nd got me to thinking about her...

Yeah, good thinking.....I just have a feeling that if BERNARDINI crushes his rivals in the stretch, which is certainly foreseeable, then those types of races usually set up for a clunker to come in and complete the exacta because many horses will have had their heart broken by Bernardini in that scenario - and that Churchill Downs stretch is a LOOONG stretch to finish down if you are heartbroken with Bernardini running away from you at the top of the lane....that was the thought process behind that....