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#1
11-14-2009, 06:54 AM
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11/14: Calder; Churchill (Carryover $165k Sunday!)
Third straight day of profits Friday with Churchill punts returning the $500+ P4, bonus exotic mutuels in the nightcap and the $300 P6 conso. Only the single of Lady Carlock in the second leg of the sextet failed to connect. When crazily overlaid No Such Word (>14-1), my on top Best Value, took the 10th, an $87k 8 day carryover was the result. That card-ender finished up the day nicely, as the Cindy Jones trainee keyed a $330 tri and $1,110 super. Hope you did well and are ready for a fun weekend of play including Calder's Florida Millions, Churchill's Carryover and a good Mrs. Revere.
CALDER RACE COURSE PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: 6th John Franks Juv. Turf, 2yo-F (FL), 8.5f-T (P3, Super) Most Likely: #10 D'lucci Girl 3-1 8th Best Value: #6 Simply Impressive 10-1 5th Next Best: #2 Winsockie 4-1 3rd Super Add: #8 Suzanne 6-1 7th 5th: 6th Jack Price Juvenile, 2yo (FL), 7f (P3, Super) Most Likely: #4 Mr. Green 5-2 3rd Best Value: #3 What a Prince 10-1 5th Next Best: #7 Good to Be Seen 3-1 2nd Super Add: #5 Peace at Dawn 4-1 4th 6th: 8th O'Farrell Juvenile, 2yo-F (FL), 7f (P3, Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #4 Joanie's Catch 3-1 2nd Best Value: #1 Winey Taylor 6-1 6th Next Best: #7 Sweetlalabye 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Musical Romance 10-1 7th High 5 Play: #6 Carphonic 4-1 WON 7th: 6th Appleton Juvenile Turf, 2yo (FL), 8.5f-T (.50 Big 4, Super) Most Likely: #3 Family Foundation 7-2 2nd Best Value: #1 Thunder Brew 10-1 6th Next Best: #11 Bim Bam 4-1 WON Super Add: #9 Show the Way J 5-1 3rd 8th: 8th Jack Dudley Sprint, 3+ (FL), 6f (P3, Super) Most Likely: #8 Pashito the Che 2-1 WON Best Value: #2 Honey Honey Honey 5-1 Next Best: #4 Green Vegas 6-1 Super Add: #6 Little Nick 8-1 3rd 9th: 8th Heubeck Distaff H., F&M-3+, (FL), 8.5f (P3, Super) Most Likely: #6 Jessica is Back 5-2 2nd Best Value: #2 Sweetsouthernqueen 6-1 4th Next Best: #5 Even Road 5-1 3rd Super Add: #9 Sweet Repent 4-1 WON 10th: 8th Bonnie Heath Turf Cup H., 3+ (FL), 9f-T (P3, Super) Most Likely: #8 Soldier's Dancer 4-5 WON Best Value: #5 Fearless Eagle 8-1 5th Next Best: #3 Pickpocket 4-1 2nd Super Add: #2 Livingston Street 5-1 4th <$75 .50 P4 Play: 7: 1-3-9-11-12 8: 2-4-5-6-[8] 9: 2-[6] 10: 5-[8] Main: 5x5x2x2 = 100 x .50 = $50 Press: 5x1x1x1 = 5 x $5 = $25 11th: 8th Carl Rose Classic, 3+ (FL) 9f (DD, Super) Best Value: #2 Too Many Toyz 8-1 WON ($12.20) Most Likely: #3 It's a Bird 8-5 2nd Next Best: #7 Temo's Dream 3-1 7th Super Add: #5 Dream Maestro 8-1 3rd $1 Exacta (2-3) Paid $16.70 $1 Trifecta (2-3-5) Paid $59.10 CHURCHILL DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES 5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Pacific Star 5-2 6th Best Value: #5 N. Y. Wise Guy 8-1 8th Next Best: #6 Win Grammy Boy 3-1 WON Super Add: #1 He Ain't Right 12-1 2nd 6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Gather All 6-1 2nd Best Value: #10 Jump Start Now 10-1 3rd Next Best: #11 Miro 3-1 4th Super Add: #2 Polished 8-1 6th 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #8 Choice Play 5-1 WON ($11.60) Most Likely: #5 Sea Gull 3-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Bill's Presence 4-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Joxy Roxy 12-1 4th $1 Exacta (8-5) Paid $17.30 $1 Trifecta (8-5-3) Paid $58.50 $1 Superfecta (8-5-3-1) Paid $370.00 8th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Harlem Rocker 8-5 2nd Best Value:#8 Cassoulet 10-1 6th Next Best: #1 Mutadda 4-1 4th Super Add: #4 Timbucto 15-1 8th 9th: 19th Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super) Absolutely fabulous, and nearly impossible, stake.. Reaching out for prices.. Best Value: #5 Mary's Follies 10-1 WON ($20.80) Most Likely: #7 Hot Cha Cha 3-1 4th Next Best: #1 C. S. Silk 10-1 11th Super Add: #6 War Kill 20-1 10th 10th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Super, Super High 5) Best Value: #8 Majestic Falcon 10-1 Most Likely: #5 Truchan 4-1 5th Next Best: #1 Monarchos Boy 8-1 Super Add: #4 Raincatcher 8-1 DNF High 5 Play: #10 Soldier Field 6-1 WON <$150 P6 Play: This is a very tricky sequence and I believe it will take a big ticket to hit. Built relatively inexpense play, but suggest treading lightly or avoiding altogether if uncomfortable with skein... 5: 2 6: 8-10 7: 3-5-8 8: 5-8 9: 1-5-7 10: 5-8 1x2x3x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-5-8 8: 5-8 9: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12 10: 5-8 3x2x12x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-15-2009 at 07:27 AM. 
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#2
11-14-2009, 09:12 AM
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Track Name: Churchill Downs (CHD) Race: 7 Pool: P4 Selections: 1, 7, 8, 9/1, 3, 5/3, 6, 7, 8, 11/3, 5, 8, 10 Wager Amount: $0.50 Wager Total: $120
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#3
11-14-2009, 09:32 AM
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I realize it's a big step up in class, but I'm giving Striking Dancer a big shot in the Mrs. Revere. Her last fits with these, and once again, the quick return would seem to indicate the horse is doing well. She was one of the best 2yr old turf filly's last year, today she proves whether she fits with the top 3 yr olds.
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#9
11-14-2009, 12:45 PM
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Simply Impressive? More like Simply Retarded. What a trip.
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#10
11-14-2009, 12:49 PM
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Churchill can suck it. They could've put that 2-year-old maiden scrum anywhere on the card, but they put it as the last race to try to create another carryover. I had a reasonably priced ticket until I got to that race.
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#12
11-14-2009, 01:03 PM
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#13
11-14-2009, 01:08 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#14
11-14-2009, 01:17 PM
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churchill downs should sue evangaline for the slogan "the fullest fields". these races today are filled to the brim, i'm really making an effort to put tickets together, but i honestly can't do it, these races are jam packed, and i wouldn't say they're oozing talent, they're just jam packed -bt-
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#15
11-14-2009, 01:36 PM
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#16
11-14-2009, 01:41 PM
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There's one for the conspiracy folks...
As the 6 was crossing the wire at Churchill, I looked over at the odds on Twinspires and he was 4-1. I go back to check the results and he jumped up to 5-1 after crossing the wire. Oh my God!!! I'm calling Steve on Monday to complain. 
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#18
11-14-2009, 02:24 PM
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So I'm alive to 6 ticket in the AQU P4 in Race 7 1-2-6-9. 9 ****ing runs off before the race, ****ing 6 Stumbles out of the gate and rider loses the irons. ****ing 2 dumps his Jockey and the one simply blows. What a ****ing mess./
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#19
11-14-2009, 02:35 PM
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Why are you playing a track in a monsoon?
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