All conventional wisdom may be lost...

[Nostradamus]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

I think Bernardini will win the Classic. I think he is head and shoulders of above anyone out there with the possible exception of Lava Man. But with Lava Man, we don't know that he can necessarily run as well on the road and his last two races were not quite as good as some of his past races. I make Bernardini a pretty heavy favorite to win the Classic.

Showing Up is a different story. Even after he won the Arlington race in a faster time than The Tin Man ran on the same day at the same track, everyone on this board including myself agreed that Showing Up would have no chance agaisnt The Tin Man. Showing up had been very impressive but he still didn't look quite as good as the top older turf horses.

Showing Up is just as good as any older turf horse, but only up to around 10f. It is not so much that Showing Up is so great, but he fits right in with the good, but not great american turf horses. They all just beat each other over and over and Showing Up will beat them one day, when his turn comes around. Next year he should not have Cacique and English Channel either.

Showing Up though, is not in Bernardini or Barbaro's league. He is likely to be another Lava Man type. Very good, but never great.