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#1
10-22-2009, 06:48 AM
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10/22: Keeneland ($33k C/O)
Talked up but then abandoned Boxitup in Belmont 5th Wednesday, a move that cost an opportunity to be P6 live going into the nightcap. Third choice won that quashing P4 play and conso try, and despite rather chalky result, still felt like I missed a quality opportunity to hit. Hope you did well with the other solid results.
Keeneland P6 clicked up another 50% to $33k for Thursday, but still might not be that approachable given the consistently quirky Lexington outcomes. Thoughts below, but with insanely deep G3 Sycamore in the mix, P3/P4 plays may be the prudent call. Featured Knickerbocker (G3) at Belmont looks like Proudibnsky's race to lose, but there are some pricey exotics players to consider. One interesting price at NY as well today... KEENELAND PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Workingontherailroad 1-1 WON Best Value: #3 Cabazon 10-1 7th Next Best: #5 Twisting Road 6-1 4th Super Add: #11 Six Shots 6-1 2nd 5th: ALW/C, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Starfish Bay 8-5 3rd Best Value: #2 Dashel 10-1 WON Next Best: #4 Brezing Rain 5-2 4th Super Add: #1 She's Extreme 12-1 10th 6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Very confusing group.. Will take flyer that Agastache gets easy early lead and keeps going.. Best Value: #1 Agastache 5-1 WON Most Likely: #6 Quietly Mine 5-2 2nd Next Best: #4 Vicarian 4-1 4th Super Add: #2 Free Brave 7-2 6th 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Afleet Maggi 4-1 2nd Best Value: #1 Encore Saritta 6-1 4th Next Best: #7 Attempt to Name 8-1 3rd Super Add: #3 Lunar Mist 12-1 8th 8th: 15th Sycamore (G3), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super) Thoroughly entertaining race.. Use some prices.. Best Value: #11 Gentleman Chester 8-1 Most Likely: #9 Cloudy's Knight 3-1 WON Next Best: #12 Winchester 7-2 2nd Super Add: #5 Tiger Woodman 20-1 9th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #6 Turwada 7-2 7th Best Value: #10 Drink With Pride 6-1 8th Next Best: #4 Mort's Legacy 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #8 SCR High 5 Play: #11 Hang 'Em 20-1 11th <$200 P6 Play: 4: 1-3 5: 2-3 6: 1-6 7: 1-4 8: 9-11-12 9: 6-10 2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: ALL 7: 1-4 8: 5-8-9-11-12 9: 6-10 7x2x5x2 = 140 x .50 = $70 BELMONT -- SPOT PLAY 5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) BEST VALUE: #9 TEMPEST STORM 12-1: Contessa-Winning Move filly looks overlaid at number as she circles back towards best efforts mid-summer which came over this strip. Expect performance worth keying around.. 3rd Most Likely: #8 Granted Tiger 3-1 4th Next Best: #2 West Ocean 8-1 WON Super Add: #1 More to the Story 9-2 6th Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-23-2009 at 08:27 AM. 
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#2
10-22-2009, 01:40 PM
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43-1 winner at Belmont The Mailet provides Rock Hard Ten with his 2nd 'first time turf' winner in 6 visitors to the green (33%).. Keep an eye on this as there was NO TURF support from her siblings. As a son of Kris S., Rock Hard Ten delivering turf aptitude isn't a shock, but I doubt many people will immediately associate him as a turf influence yet and you could benefit here early on as his babies try it...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#3
10-22-2009, 02:35 PM
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BEL 6: Appealing 6-1 on Jacoby's Run... Squashed like bug. Pace victim.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
10-22-2009, 02:42 PM
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KEE 6: Would love to get through here. This race got more confusing the more I looked at it..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
10-22-2009, 02:47 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
10-22-2009, 02:48 PM
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Quote:
Great hit Steve
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#8
10-22-2009, 02:48 PM
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Quote:
__________________
___________________ Woulda Coulda Shoulda
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#10
10-22-2009, 02:53 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#11
10-22-2009, 02:56 PM
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Quote:
Note: I just looked again and the race was at Turfway, but he hasn't been back to poly since..
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#12
10-22-2009, 03:18 PM
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Quote:
 'welcome...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
10-22-2009, 09:28 PM
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It was a fun day at Keeneland. Weather held up great, wow alot more people there then I certainly expected, and some good racing. I really am growing to love this place, except for the racing surface.
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