Pioneer of the Nile

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by freddymo

I think that of the 60k born only 20k are realistically capable of being such a horse

I would say about 3k but who is counting?

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

I would say about 3k but who is counting?

if it is only 3k then getting 30 of the 3k gives you a 1% chance in striking gold. Figure it would cost 200k per horse on average so a 6mil investment gets you a 1% shot at a 75mil earner. BUT the 6 mil invest has some inherit value as you will earn something back on some of the horses. If you are right that it is only 3k such horses getting 30 for 6 mil isn't a horrible business plan,,

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by freddymo

if it is only 3k then getting 30 of the 3k gives you a 1% chance in striking gold. Figure it would cost 200k per horse on average so a 6mil investment gets you a 1% shot at a 75mil earner. BUT the 6 mil invest has some inherit value as you will earn something back on some of the horses. If you are right that it is only 3k such horses getting 30 for 6 mil isn't a horrible business plan,,

However of those 3k how many are available to be purchased? The odds are still monumentally long that any of those 3000 make it.

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

However of those 3k how many are available to be purchased? The odds are still monumentally long that any of those 3000 make it.

Actually if you own 30 of the only 3k then you own 1% of the elidgible hence your odds are exactly 1 in 300. BUT your 3k is a very bad fig

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by freddymo

Actually if you own 30 of the only 3k then you own 1% of the elidgible hence your odds are exactly 1 in 300. BUT your 3k is a very bad fig

How so? It may be less. Exactly how many horses have the pedigree to stand for that kind of price?

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

How so? It may be less. Exactly how many horses have the pedigree to stand for that kind of price?

Tiznow?

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by freddymo

Tiznow?

2 BC classics is pretty tough to do and he didnt start at a real high price. He was 25k 2 years ago