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  #1  
Old 09-03-2009, 01:29 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Top 5 losers of last weekend:


#1. American turf females: Salve Germania was no better than 3rd in seven consecutive turf races in Europe. She was 4th in a listed stake in Germany last out. She would not have even been a favorite in a par N1X allowance race. To make matters worse, she wasn't exactly getting a nice break in weights either.

She ran off in the post parade. She acted up behind the gate. She was forced to close wide into the teeth of VERY slow fractions. It all didn't matter... she beat a par Grade 2 field of American Turf horses.
As long as you keep on interpreting these races in terms of FRACTIONS rather than how they're actually run, you'll just never get it. Once again, it's about WHEN you move in these races NOT how fast they're going. This filly last moved a field where everything else had already run before her. In your mind she ran AGAINST it, due to the slow early fractions. In point of fact, she got a perfect setup and the pacesetters, who'd set those dawdling fractions, got the worst of it.
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  #2  
Old 09-03-2009, 02:10 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
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The Lure - the only other turf race on the Travers card - was also run with a slow pace in relation to final time.

Get Stormy went wire-to-wire and paid $17.00 ... 6/1 Mikoshi, who was 2nd after a quarter mile, finished 2nd. $127 exacta. It was almost 7 lengths back to 3rd.

In the vast majority of races I get that come back with a slow-fast race shape ... it's not about when you move.

If you think Captain's Lover was really getting the worst of it that's your problem. She finished 4.5 lengths in front of Closeout. Next time they meet, I'll take Closeout and the points.
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  #3  
Old 09-03-2009, 02:48 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
The Lure - the only other turf race on the Travers card - was also run with a slow pace in relation to final time.

Get Stormy went wire-to-wire and paid $17.00 ... 6/1 Mikoshi, who was 2nd after a quarter mile, finished 2nd. $127 exacta. It was almost 7 lengths back to 3rd.

In the vast majority of races I get that come back with a slow-fast race shape ... it's not about when you move.

If you think Captain's Lover was really getting the worst of it that's your problem. She finished 4.5 lengths in front of Closeout. Next time they meet, I'll take Closeout and the points.
I might be missing your point about the LURE but, then again, since you didn't call the exacta before the fact, I'm just going to ignore it.

On to what we know:

The Lure went 1-2-6-9 (1st call) around the track.

The race in question went 7-5-4-2 around the track.

Forgetting about everything that happened before, during and after these races, at least, we might agree, that if both were SLOW PACED races, then they'd SHAPE UP the same. Huh? My only point is that saying a PACE IS SLOW, when the front runners collapse, and not just one of them but all the pace setters, is just STUPID. If you weren't fixated on time, you'd understand this. What collapsed the latter race is the 4th split moves (which just happened to be the fastest split). As such, the winner got the best of it.

Of course, you're too busy trying to get the horses to fit your method rather than letting how they run dictate your method.
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  #4  
Old 09-03-2009, 02:12 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
As long as you keep on interpreting these races in terms of FRACTIONS rather than how they're actually run, you'll just never get it. Once again, it's about WHEN you move in these races NOT how fast they're going. This filly last moved a field where everything else had already run before her. In your mind she ran AGAINST it, due to the slow early fractions. In point of fact, she got a perfect setup and the pacesetters, who'd set those dawdling fractions, got the worst of it.
So the slow horses were moving slowly but they had been asked to run so the last horse that had been running the slowest of all was then asked to run after the slow horses who were moving slowly started to go slower even though thay had never run a fast step in the race.. Let's recap..Slow horses move slowly thru a race but eventhough it is very slow they are still running faster then other horses that are running slower. So when the slow horses that have been running slowly start to slow down the last slowest horse to speed up and keep going past the slowing slow horses is a perfect set up winner. Got YA
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  #5  
Old 09-03-2009, 02:41 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
So the slow horses were moving slowly but they had been asked to run so the last horse that had been running the slowest of all was then asked to run after the slow horses who were moving slowly started to go slower even though thay had never run a fast step in the race.. Let's recap..Slow horses move slowly thru a race but eventhough it is very slow they are still running faster then other horses that are running slower. So when the slow horses that have been running slowly start to slow down the last slowest horse to speed up and keep going past the slowing slow horses is a perfect set up winner. Got YA
Can you put this in a chart?
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  #6  
Old 09-03-2009, 02:59 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
Can you put this in a chart?
Naturally who couldn't
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  #7  
Old 09-03-2009, 04:46 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
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Location: Southern Maine
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
So the slow horses were moving slowly but they had been asked to run so the last horse that had been running the slowest of all was then asked to run after the slow horses who were moving slowly started to go slower even though thay had never run a fast step in the race.. Let's recap..Slow horses move slowly thru a race but eventhough it is very slow they are still running faster then other horses that are running slower. So when the slow horses that have been running slowly start to slow down the last slowest horse to speed up and keep going past the slowing slow horses is a perfect set up winner. Got YA
Actually Freddy, stop to think about it.

I think that is the exact logic used by many jocks that have cost me many races by waiting till the finish line to let their horse run!
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