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The idea of betting Edge*Bankroll/Odds that I referred to above is the Kelly Criterion. Wikipedia has a decent description of it: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion Can't find a Thorp link that's ideal for horseracing. Here's one paper he wrote that covers a lot of Kelly betting, but it's pretty heavy math. http://www.bjmath.com/bjmath/thorp/paper.htm --Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson |