Belmont allowance lost in the shuffle

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by parsixfarms

This was not a race that fell apart late. Treat Gently ran over the top of the field despite the slow pace.

Having the lead is not necessarily a huge disadvantage. It all depends upon race dynamics and distribution of energy; these principles apply in a sport such as track and field (in which I competed) just as they do in horse racing. Why else is that horses that are uncontested on loose leads are so dangerous in races? I'd put them at an advantage, not a disadvantage.

If those behind them are drafting and move in a timely fashion, rather than prematurely, which is the norm, then the front runner will always be at a disadvantage. Check out the daily results over at the Tour de France. And, actually, the race did kind of fall apart. It was very nearly a 'wipe-out'. I do agree, however, that race dynamics trump 'fast' or 'slow' pace just about every time. But old habits are hard to break.

[Bobby Fischer]

well, it collapsed AND Treat Gently also ran a pretty good race.

Cable made a fairly game effort too

Love Tune didn't really tell anything about the setup other than the fix wasn't in. Not a competitive factor.

The 2 favorites came in 1-2, without any significant trouble, how much revelations can we really make about "overcoming" anything??

a look at the winner's form and she is tons the best , provided she holds form and suits the American style. For all the credit she deserves for the 2nd 1/8th of the race when everyone was riding foot-in the dash vs. these pigs , the lack of a competitive horse on a harder pace probably HELPED HER. She didn't face anything new or american in style this day.


Kristi with a K is an ok filly who's paper-form could mislead some into thinking she is a hard hitter, but she probably gave the best indication of setup in that she didn't walk away with an advantage to place(which is the only way she can be competitive @ that class). She really should have been 8-1 , but we had two 25-1 shots running up the field.

While Garcia was finessing Cable out into the Stretch, Treat Gently was suddenly urged by Dominguez. Cable didn't really carry much if any advantage into the stretch. Maybe it was a disadvantage for Cable being the "prey", but Treat Gently was clearly best.