Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-30-2009, 02:53 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Yeah it might be the contrarian view but I actually thought Lukas improved her abit if we are to use beyers as the definitive gauge, but we just had that discussion...
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-30-2009, 02:56 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
Yeah it might be the contrarian view but I actually thought Lukas improved her abit if we are to use beyers as the definitive gauge, but we just had that discussion...
of course her Beyers went up once she started racing on the east coast
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-30-2009, 02:58 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Lukas gave Azeri a chance to show everyone, and I was a non-believer before he got her, just how good she really was.

Horses often show more in defeat than they do in victory. Lukas gave her a chance to lose. Compare it to testing in college, where the tests are designed so that nobody can get a perfect score, and the scores are graded on a curve. You learn little about a student's true capabilities when they get a perfect score. One person's 100 is not the same as another's per se.

If you put Zenyatta and Rachel Alexandra together on the racetrack, especially in a situation that is reasonably fair for both, you will learn much more about them than we did this past Saturday. In all likelihood, both will emerge with their reputations furthered.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:03 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Lukas gave Azeri a chance to show everyone, and I was a non-believer before he got her, just how good she really was.

Horses often show more in defeat than they do in victory. Lukas gave her a chance to lose. Compare it to testing in college, where the tests are designed so that nobody can get a perfect score, and the scores are graded on a curve. You learn little about a student's true capabilities when they get a perfect score. One person's 100 is not the same as another's per se.

If you put Zenyatta and Rachel Alexandra together on the racetrack, especially in a situation that is reasonably fair for both, you will learn much more about them than we did this past Saturday. In all likelihood, both will emerge with their reputations furthered.
Good post, I hate when the best horses avoid each other, I mean shouldnt they have a championship day at the end of the year or something, the sport should think about doing that, fans would be happy as well.

of course Azeri proved she was good, when she got to NYRA of course
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:04 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Good post, I hate when the best horses avoid each other, I mean shouldnt they have a championship day at the end of the year or something, the sport should think about doing that, fans would be happy as well.

of course Azeri proved she was good, when she got to NYRA of course
She certainly proved it more there than she did at Churchill.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:07 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
She certainly proved it more there than she did at Churchill.
I have no clue why a trainer would think a front running router with high cruising speed would be good at sprinting, certainly that goes against my theory on cutbacks.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:10 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

She certainly ran her best races around two turns and given a chance she beat the mighty Sightseek and ran an awesome race in the Personal Ensign.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:10 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
I have no clue why a trainer would think a front running router with high cruising speed would be good at sprinting, certainly that goes against my theory on cutbacks.
She got thrashed in her next start too.

NT
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:13 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
She got thrashed in her next start too.

NT
I remember, it was the Met Mile, one turn sprint as well. She took some stupid money though.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:22 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

Sightseek could run a little...
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:23 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Lukas gave Azeri a chance to show everyone, and I was a non-believer before he got her, just how good she really was.
Come on man ... that's bologna.

All Lukas did was put her in a couple of very silly spots... silly spots in which she did not run well. That and he was based in the East and LDS in the West.

She had that great 1:08 and change debut at 17/1 odds - and than she ran 15 straight triple digit Beyers before being removed from LDS.

I know she beat almost nothing ... but she came to the Apple Blossom twice for LDS and Arlington for the BC Distaff - and gave anything in the east a chance to meet her in between.

She gave those double digit weight swings away to a few ok horses and all as well.

It was painfully obvious how good Azeri was before Lukas got her ... and she was just about the same horse for him minus her bad effort in the Phipps.

My problem with Azeri is that she was overrated to the point of sheer annoyance by TVG when she raced in the West for De Soreux.

When Lukas put her in silly spots like the Met and Breeders Cup Classic ... you didn't so much notice that she had the speed of Ruffian, the class of Lady's Secret, and the heart of Personal Ensign ... did you?
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:28 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
When Lukas put her in silly spots like the Met and Breeders Cup Classic ... you didn't so much notice that she had the speed of Ruffian, the class of Lady's Secret, and the heart of Personal Ensign ... did you?
I thought she ran well in the BCC - it was a more interesting spot than putting her in the Distaff.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:33 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
I thought she ran well in the BCC - it was a more interesting spot than putting her in the Distaff.
Yeah - it was very shrwed placement.

She was 5th, got beat about 10 lengths at 15/1 odds, with a 109 Beyer.

That year's Distaff was won by Ashado with a 102.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:42 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Yeah - it was very shrwed placement.

She was 5th, got beat about 10 lengths at 15/1 odds, with a 109 Beyer.

That year's Distaff was won by Ashado with a 102.
It all depends on what you want to see - a horse put into challenging spots or put in spots where they could win with ridiculous ease.

Obviously I love Sightseek, but she didn't exactly have the most interesting campaign.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 06-30-2009, 04:11 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
It all depends on what you want to see - a horse put into challenging spots or put in spots where they could win with ridiculous ease.
Azeri wasn't a total lock on paper in that years Distaff ... and she was one of my first four or so throwouts in that years Classic.

She was basically beaten 10 with a very good trip at 15/1 odds in a race she probably should have been 50/1 in. As it turned out though - yeah - she probably wins that years Distaff by 2 or 3.

It was a classic case of Lukas overlooking the correct spot to shoot for the moon.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 07-01-2009, 05:16 PM
Pedigree Ann's Avatar
Pedigree Ann Pedigree Ann is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Lexington, KY
Posts: 1,776
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
It all depends on what you want to see - a horse put into challenging spots or put in spots where they could win with ridiculous ease.

Obviously I love Sightseek, but she didn't exactly have the most interesting campaign.
Horse needed the easy turns at Belmont to run her best. There have been a number of of large, big-striding horses (e.g. Easy Goer) who find the turns on 8f circuits too tight; they have to shorten stride to maintain their balance, while at Belmont they can continue striding out. Obviously, if running against lesser competition they can overcome the difficulty, but if the competition is top notch they can struggle.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:43 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Yeah - it was very shrwed placement.

She was 5th, got beat about 10 lengths at 15/1 odds, with a 109 Beyer.

That year's Distaff was won by Ashado with a 102.
And nobody would have cared about her winning the Distaff for a second time. Whether she raced there or not didn't change the fact that we already knew she was the best older female in the country. The greats become the greats because they are always taking on new challenges, not handling the same ones over and over.

I only wish that Azeri could have been tried in some of those spots in 2003 instead of having to wait another year. As good as she was in 2004, I thought she was better in 2003.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:53 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
And nobody would have cared about her winning the Distaff for a second time. Whether she raced there or not didn't change the fact that we already knew she was the best older female in the country. The greats become the greats because they are always taking on new challenges, not handling the same ones over and over.

I only wish that Azeri could have been tried in some of those spots in 2003 instead of having to wait another year. As good as she was in 2004, I thought she was better in 2003.
If you're trying to argue that a 5th place finish in the Classic did more for Azeri's legacy than winning a 2nd Distaff would have, I couldn't possibly disagree more. She finished 5th, it's not like she contended, even if it was one of the toughest Classic fields ever. I agree with you in general when it comes to trying bold things with exceptionally talented female horses, but this was not a case where Azeri had nothing left to prove. A 2nd Distaff would have been another feather in her cap, or at least more of one than a 5th in the Classic.

I also wasn't certain that she was the best female in the country at that time. She traded decisions with Sightseek (who was a Belmont horse for course) but neither had proven they were decidedly better than the other.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 06-30-2009, 04:18 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Lukas gave Azeri a chance to show everyone, and I was a non-believer before he got her, just how good she really was.

Horses often show more in defeat than they do in victory. Lukas gave her a chance to lose. Compare it to testing in college, where the tests are designed so that nobody can get a perfect score, and the scores are graded on a curve. You learn little about a student's true capabilities when they get a perfect score. One person's 100 is not the same as another's per se.

If you put Zenyatta and Rachel Alexandra together on the racetrack, especially in a situation that is reasonably fair for both, you will learn much more about them than we did this past Saturday. In all likelihood, both will emerge with their reputations furthered.
Seattle Slew's losing effort to Exceller is a great illustration you don't always have to win in College as you say, to further a reputation. I always resented Azeri when she raced under Laura D, but gained a new respect for her under Lukas. I hope Zen's connections realize they may be doing more harm than good.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:49 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.