Breeders Cup

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

A few of the races will have fairly short-priced favorites that figure to win:

BC Classic: Bernardini
BC Sprint: Henny Hughes
BC Mile: Aragorn

If Lava Man goes I don't think the price will be that short-priced...not to mention the battle of Invasor and 'Dini has not been decided yet so you never know who could actually come out of the race favored.

[The Bid]

Lava Man will get a ham sandwich in the classic.

Henny Hughes will romp

The rest is TBD

[Gander]

I'm looking forward to taking a shot against Henny Hughes against older horses in the sprint. While enormously talented, I think he is one of the best favorites to take a stand against.

[Gander]

Lava Man will get a ham sandwich in the classic.

Whats that mean? Somebody literally walks out and feeds Lava Man a ham sandwich? Sounds good to me.

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Gander

Lava Man will get a ham sandwich in the classic.

Whats that mean? Somebody literally walks out and feeds Lava Man a ham sandwich? Sounds good to me.

Now I'm hungry! LOL

Originally Posted by Gander

I'm looking forward to taking a shot against Henny Hughes against older horses in the sprint. While enormously talented, I think he is one of the best favorites to take a stand against.

Gander, people just dont understand how hard it is for a 3 year old to beat older horses no matter how talented the 3 year old is. There are some good older spinters out there. Going to be tough for Henny to beat this group.

[Gander]

I agree Euro, tough to beat older horses, especially in the Sprint Division. We saw what happened to Lost in the Fog in last year's BC. Pretty hard to think that Lost in the Fog wasnt every bit as talented (I happen to think more) than Henny Hughes is.

Whats more is Henny will have to face a tougher group in this year's Sprint. War Front looms large and Pomeroy is back in shape.

[jpops757]

Extremly talented group of 3yr olds but with short prices they are a bet against in all BC races. Even the freek Bernadeni. With success this will be proof of the quality of this years 3yr olds. Having said all this with the propper set up I will probably play them. I guess the bottom line is 3yr olds stepping up to older horses is a complete new league. While we are on the subject why are So. Hem 4yr olds alowwed to compete against 3yr olds up north?

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by jpops757

Extremly talented group of 3yr olds but with short prices they are a bet against in all BC races. Even the freek Bernadeni. With success this will be proof of the quality of this years 3yr olds. Having said all this with the propper set up I will probably play them. I guess the bottom line is 3yr olds stepping up to older horses is a complete new league. While we are on the subject why are So. Hem 4yr olds alowwed to compete against 3yr olds up north?

They aren't allowed in 3 year old races. Obviously they are allowed in 3 year old and up races.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by Gander

I agree Euro, tough to beat older horses, especially in the Sprint Division. We saw what happened to Lost in the Fog in last year's BC. Pretty hard to think that Lost in the Fog wasnt every bit as talented (I happen to think more) than Henny Hughes is.

Whats more is Henny will have to face a tougher group in this year's Sprint. War Front looms large and Pomeroy is back in shape.

I know how hard it is for a 3yo to beat older horses which is why I find it so funny that everyone is already anointing Bernardini as the BC Classic winner off wins over Bluegrass Cat, Minister's Bid, and Sweetnorthernsaint. Could Bernardini win the Classic? Absolutely but it is a much tougher task than others are making it out to be. Let's see him get by Invasor first.

In the case of Henny he has dealt with a pace in the King's Bishop that should have absolutely cooked him and he was able to prevail. LITF did not have that going into the BC last year. I can fully understand why others would pick against him but I think he'll surprise a lot of people come BC day.

[Pointg5]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

Gander, people just dont understand how hard it is for a 3 year old to beat older horses no matter how talented the 3 year old is. There are some good older spinters out there. Going to be tough for Henny to beat this group.

Reraise and Cajun Beat didn't have a problem with it and these 3yo's are probably better than those two...

[Pointg5]

Originally Posted by Pointg5

Reraise and Cajun Beat didn't have a problem with it and these 3yo's are probably better than those two...

Also, I believe these two had their last prep in the Kentucky Cup Sprint, they won without ever facing elders before the BC...

[Gander]

I didnt say it couldnt be done and certainly in the case of Bernardini, he should be the favorite going into the Classic. I seriously doubt Invasor or Sun King will give him much of a battle in the Jockey Club.

Henny Hughes is a real nice horse but I think hes very beatable using War Front. That field in the Kings Bishop wasnt much. Although on that day he probably would have beaten almost any sprinter alive.

[Gander]

Its going to be a much harder race than the Kings Bishop. I guess we'll get a preview of how he'll fare in next month's Vosburgh, which promises to be every bit as good as the BC Sprint. Silver Train will be in there but not the BC Sprint.

[The Bid]

A ham sandwich means he will get nothing at all, an off the board finish. Henny Hughes is the real deal.

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by The Bid

A ham sandwich means he will get nothing at all, an off the board finish. Henny Hughes is the real deal.

I'm staying away from LM, but I think he will take a fair enough amount of $$.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

I'm staying away from LM, but I think he will take a fair enough amount of $$.

It is a little tough to figure odds before everyone has had their final prep. If Lava Man goes in the Goodwood and throws up a 120 Beyer then he will take plenty of money.

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

It is a little tough to figure odds before everyone has had their final prep. If Lava Man goes in the Goodwood and throws up a 120 Beyer then he will take plenty of money.

I don't know about a 120, but I honestly don't see him getting beat in CA, unless he does enter that turf race against The Tin Man and even then he has a very good shot to win. (and this is coming from the LM anti-goo-goo )

I think that as usual there will be many good prices on winners. The exception will be the Classic where Bernardini wins once again.