Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-08-2006, 01:08 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
Any tips/thoughts on determining when to bet a horse running his first race off a layoff or deciding that its "going to need one"?

Check a trainers ITM% on layoff horses. You'd be surprised how many trainers win like 10% with layoff horses but are in the money 52% usually at good prices since everybody knows who the high % guys are. You can get some live longshots especially if the horse was off form before the layoff.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-08-2006, 01:20 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Check a trainers ITM% on layoff horses. You'd be surprised how many trainers win like 10% with layoff horses but are in the money 52% usually at good prices since everybody knows who the high % guys are. You can get some live longshots especially if the horse was off form before the layoff.
Thanks!
I'm trying to get rid of my "wait and see" approach.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:15 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.