(At) What Odds Will Rachel Go Off?

[sdjcom]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

Assuming that Rachel Alexandra runs in the Preakness, what odds do you guys think she will go off at? We still don't know for sure who will be in there. Jones is now saying that Fresian Fire will run. Papa Clem and Musket Man are supposed to run. I don't know if POTN will run or not.

Rachel has been so impressive that she will obviously be the favorite. But I think some of those other horses will get play so I don't think RA will be odds-on. I'm guessing she goes off at around even-money. What do you guys think?

I'm betting against her and might eat my words but i think she'll get beat,why
because i want her to, no other reason.

[ninetoone]

I'm more interested to see what MTB and the others go off at...

[hockey2315]

And I the only one who thinks she's a big play against? (Not that she won't be the best horse in the race)

[IrishofNDMan]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

And I the only one who thinks she's a big play against? (Not that she won't be the best horse in the race)

No I agree, Papa Clem and Musket Man look like good options to me.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan

No I agree, Papa Clem and Musket Man look like good options to me.

I'm not particularly crazy about either one of them either, though. . . I don't know much about Hull but maybe he's the real deal. . .

[Rootdog1]

A really good question...Numbers players will pound her...except for the sheets guys who will expect a bounce.

I say 2-1 or 3/2....and it will be a freaking gift unless she doesnt relax. That will be her eventual undoing, IMO. She hasnt been eye-ball to eye-ball in the lane in a long while.

[Thunder Gulch]

If there are 14 (13 colts) in the race, RA will be 2-1 or so. The other question is what odds will MTB be? Think about how nuts it is for the Oaks winner to be 2-1 or less in the Preakness, while the Derby winner is 8-1 or more......

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I'm not particularly crazy about either one of them either, though. . . I don't know much about Hull but maybe he's the real deal. . .

Oh god I'm turning into John White and POTN, but he's the only one I would potentially play in this spot instead of Rachel. She'd offer, in my eyes, really good value at anything above 2-1...but I have been waiting for Hull to stretch out, and he's done absolutely nothing wrong yet. Pace doesn't seem to bother him, tougher competition hasn't either -- and though the waters get much, much deeper here, he's got an interesting pedigree to handle two bends. Would have preferred to see him stretch out in a spot like the Lone Star Derby against softer company first, but I won't really play against him until he gives me a reason to...and he hasn't come close to doing that yet.