5/2 (CD): Kentucky Derby (G1)

[Linny]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

His sire is 3-for-117 with 1st time turfers - and his dam couldn't outrun a goat on turf when she raced here - and turf and synthetic are pretty much the same thing -- so ... while IWR utterly stinks on synthetic tracks - I would have considered IWR the best pedigree projection to improve on dirt of the synthetic horses but he would only have been my longshot flyer for underneath in a race where I would have had knocks on everything.

Have can you say that POTN is a "synth specialist" and yet say IWR "stinks" on synth when they were only a nose apart in the CashCall Futurity?

[Clip-Clop]

Originally Posted by Linny

Have can you say that POTN is a "synth specialist" and yet say IWR "stinks" on synth when they were only a nose apart in the CashCall Futurity?

Goes to show how much faster IWR is...he stinks and still came up just that short against a specialist. Curlin "stunk on turf while finishing second in a GI to a BC Turf winner.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Linny

Have can you say that POTN is a "synth specialist" and yet say IWR "stinks" on synth when they were only a nose apart in the CashCall Futurity?

I didn't say POTN was a confirmed synth specialist .. though my hunch is he will likely be proven one.

Go watch IWR's 3rd to POTN and PC in the Pro-Ride race ... it was terrible.

The Pampelmousse and a healthy Square Eddie before being rushed back insanely from a fracture are the good synthetic track horses.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I didn't say POTN was a confirmed synth specialist .. though my hunch is he will likely be proven one.

Go watch IWR's 3rd to POTN and PC in the Pro-Ride race ... it was terrible.

The Pampelmousse and a healthy Square Eddie before being rushed back insanely from a fracture are the good synthetic track horses.

i would include hold me back. he may not turn out a good one, but he's definitely a syn specialist.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Danzig

hold me back.

Another horse that Bill Mott trained at 2 (and still does) that improved bigtime from age 2 to age 3

[Bobby Fischer]

Originally Posted by Linny

Have can you say that POTN is a "synth specialist" and yet say IWR "stinks" on synth when they were only a nose apart in the CashCall Futurity?

if you watch the CaschCall where IWR ran well on synth vs. the specialist, and then continue in sequence to the Robert B Lewis you should notice a few things.
1. IWR is now the clear rival of POTN in both wagering and race tactics
2. Talamo makes 1st run in the Robert Lewis in an attempt to beat POTN(as a reaction to being unable to pass POTN when both quickened in the CashCall)
3. IWR runs a 23.4? 6f-8f quarter before slowing to a 6.4? final 16th (forgive me for not calculating these exactly once again)...

Horses don't run 23.4s if they are supposedly spinning their wheels.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer

3. IWR runs a 23.4? 6f-8f quarter before slowing to a 6.4? final 16th (forgive me for not calculating these exactly once again)...

Yeah - it's a very good idea to look at naked closing fractions of Pro-Ride races.

I hate to break it to you - but there was nothing outstanding about IWR's come home time that race. The come-home times at that track were lightning fast.

[Bobby Fischer]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Yeah - it's a very good idea to look at naked closing fractions of Pro-Ride races.

I hate to break it to you - but there was nothing outstanding about IWR's come home time that race. The come-home times at that track were lightning fast.

not the come-home time (which he slowed, which was my point)
the 6-8furlong section


If you can't see that 23.4 for the 6f-8f portion of a 8.5furlong race over the Santa Anita course is very good, there is something wrong.

the horse slowed after being asked for a longer drive
The reason he was asked for a longer drive was because he lost the CashCall directly because he couldn't quicken with POTN
The result of being asked for a longer drive was he weakened.

there was no spinning of wheels. There was no "didn't handle the surface"
He ran a top class race in the CashCall , then ran a top effort but was ASKED TO DO MORE in the robert lewis.

In the Gotham and Wood there were no horses quickening in the final 16ths. IWR simply had to continue on with his relentless one paced style.
The style itself is good enough to win the derby.

The question will be whether my horse will run him down in the stretch when he begins to slightly weaken as was shown in the Robert Lewis.

Then the experts can say IWR was spinning his wheels in the slop.