Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-28-2009, 11:40 PM
skippy3481 skippy3481 is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Indiana
Posts: 1,289
Default

I think with the pick 4's you are looking at how many spots you can cover. If you have a strong grip on 2 of the 4 races you can afford to go very deep on the two remaining legs. If however, you are lost on all 4 legs, its best to pass. Pick 4's usually just need one very nicely priced horse to pay decent and if your looking at a field that looks identical, odds are, everyone else will see nearly the same. Your advantage comes with having the other legs shallow allowing for greater coverage when needed.
__________________
Inveniemus viam aut faciemus
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-29-2009, 06:44 AM
2Hot4TV's Avatar
2Hot4TV 2Hot4TV is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Glendora
Posts: 2,342
Default

Find the horse that has passed somebody. Seriously.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-29-2009, 07:49 AM
golfer's Avatar
golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,608
Default

Here's what I've been doing lately, with some success, after a whole lot of experimenting.

Find a key horse somewhere in the sequence. Then play around that horse, opening up the other legs to include as many as possible. The tracks that offer .50 cent bets certainly help in this regard. This way, you can play a race where you really don't like anyone.

In the last month or so, I have hit one of these tickets, while being alive in the money leg a few other times, where, unfortunatley, my strong opinion horse let me down. But that will happen, obviously, and you don't have to cash everyone to end up on the positive end of the spectrum.

However, if you can't find a strong opinion in one of the races, PASS on the wager.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-29-2009, 08:36 AM
Thunder Gulch's Avatar
Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Southland Greyhound Park
Posts: 1,846
Default

Everyone will tell you how disciplined their play is an blah-blah-blah. But if you are at the track (not just an online player), 99% of the time you're going to toss a fin on something. If I don't like anything, which is more than not, I'm going to put a minimum bet on something with decent odds, or play a gimmick and hope for bombs.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.

Last edited by Thunder Gulch : 04-30-2009 at 09:37 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-29-2009, 10:59 AM
Mike's Avatar
Mike Mike is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,308
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV
Find the horse that has passed somebody. Seriously.

The person that schooled me on horse race handicapping said about the same thing, concerning maidens
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-29-2009, 06:16 PM
2Hot4TV's Avatar
2Hot4TV 2Hot4TV is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Glendora
Posts: 2,342
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike
The person that schooled me on horse race handicapping said about the same thing, concerning maidens
Made some money at it.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:27 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.